Masvidal By Decision (+120) over Diaz
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- Diaz is too tough to get knocked out here, but not good enough at boxing to get the win.
- Masvidal hasn’t fought a boxing match since 2005, so we’re not expecting him to pick Diaz apart even if he should win on the scorecards.
Both Nate Diaz and Jorge Masvidal have made careers out of dazzling fight fans in the MMA octagon. But they will face off in a boxing ring on Saturday night, in a fight that will be nothing if not entertaining. Here, you will find our boxing betting picks for Nate Diaz vs Jorge Masvidal, in the second professional boxing match for each of these competitors.
This fight will be held at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA on Saturday, July 6, 2024.
Nate Diaz
In mixed martial arts, Nate Diaz was known for his toughness, even if his 21-13 professional record suggests that he got hit a little more than you’d like to see. He lost his boxing debut via unanimous decision to Jake Paul in August of 2023. Here, Diaz will look to even his boxing record with a win over another memorable MMA fighter in Jorge Masvidal.
When it comes to boxing, Diaz’s style of swinging for the fences at all times might not work in his favor. In his matchup with Paul, Diaz threw nearly 100 fewer punches than Paul. But 88.5% of the punches thrown by Diaz were power punches, while Paul’s attack was much more balanced. In boxing, where the gloves make it harder to knock an opponent out, more balance would serve Diaz well here if he actually has an interest in winning.
Jorge Masvidal
The last time Jorge Masvidal fought a boxing match was 2005, in a win over Joseph Benjamin, before we knew who he was. Now, he returns to boxing for this high-profile matchup with Nate Diaz. Known as a striker, Masvidal enters this fight as a favorite. But the key to this Nate Diaz vs Jorge Masvidal bout will be how Masvidal defends the big strikes of Diaz rather than the offense of Masvidal.
We know going in that Diaz is not going to try to win this fight on the scorecards by landing jabs. But as long as Masvidal can keep a reasonable distance and control when the action picks up, he should be able to evade the constant power punches from his opponent. Masvidal might not be able to score a knockout in a fighting format he hasn’t taken part in in nearly 20 years, but he should be able to win this fight in some capacity.
