Illinois State -3 (-110) over Evansville
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- Illinois State is much better on defense than their opponent in this contest, which should help them come away with a win to kick off their Arch Madness.
- Evansville has lost seven games in a row coming into this contest.
The Illinois State Redbirds are set to face off against the Evansville Aces on March 7, 2024, at 7:00 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook currently lists the Aces as 3.0 point underdogs with the Redbirds as 3.0 point favorites. Early betting action shows that the Aces are receiving 29% of spread bets, while the Redbirds have the majority with 71%. The total opening at 135.5 -105 has yet to see a clear preference towards the under or over. Stay tuned to see how these two teams match up on the court.
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The first two Evansville vs Illinois State matchups this season saw each team win on their home floor during the regular season. In this postseason rubber match, we expect the Illinois State Redbirds to win in St. Louis and cover the spread as favorites. Evansville is in the middle of a tailspin, as they enter this tournament on a seven-game losing streak that dropped them all the way into the bottom-three in this conference. Look for Evansville to lose for an eighth straight time here to end their season, against a very good Illinois State defense.
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NCAABB
Evansville Aces
Illinois State Redbirds
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| EVANS | Advanced Game Stats | ILLST |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1 | Pace | 66.1 |
| 98.4 | Off.Rate | 108.2 |
| .304 | FTr | .316 |
| .409 | 3PAr | .423 |
| .525 | TS% | .562 |
| 47.8 | TRB% | 49.2 |
| 53.0 | AST% | 47.6 |
| 8.9 | STL% | 8.1 |
| 13.8 | BLK% | 8.7 |
| .495 | eFG% | .528 |
| 15.8 | TOV% | 14.4 |
| 22.8 | ORB% | 24.5 |
| .212 | TF/FGA | .238 |
Defense/Offense
| EVANS | Advanced Game Stats | ILLST |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1 | Pace | 66.1 |
| 105.4 | Off.Rate | 114.2 |
| .340 | FTr | .311 |
| .444 | 3PAr | .472 |
| .534 | TS% | .598 |
| 52.2 | TRB% | 50.8 |
| 54.0 | AST% | 54.3 |
| 10.9 | STL% | 8.4 |
| 7.4 | BLK% | 5.5 |
| .495 | eFG% | .570 |
| 14.3 | TOV% | 14.2 |
| 28.7 | ORB% | 24.9 |
| .251 | TF/FGA | .233 |
Betting Trends
| EVANS | Betting Trends | ILLST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 62 | Avg Score | 64 |
| 77.67 | Avg Opp Score | 65.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 74.67 | Avg Score | 80.67 |
| 85.67 | Avg Opp Score | 75.33 |
| EVANS | Betting Trends | ILLST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 0-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 68.8 | Avg Score | 71.8 |
| 81.4 | Avg Opp Score | 69.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 71.4 | Avg Score | 71.6 |
| 78.4 | Avg Opp Score | 72 |
| EVANS | Betting Trends | ILLST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 70.2 | Avg Score | 68.2 |
| 75 | Avg Opp Score | 67.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-9-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 64.9 | Avg Score | 69 |
| 80.8 | Avg Opp Score | 69.8 |
