Arizona -8.5 (-110) over USC
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- Arizona did lose to USC late in the regular season, but that was a road game and Arizona should be much better on a neutral floor here.
- USC was on the ropes against Washington yesterday before the Huskies melted down in the second half.
The USC Trojans will face off with the Arizona Wildcats in the quarterfinals of the Pac-12 tournament on March 14, 2024 at 3:00 pm EST. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the USC Trojans as 8.0 point underdogs in Las Vegas.
The early action has the USC Trojans taking 88% of the spread bets, while the Arizona Wildcats are getting 12% of the bets.
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Our expectation is for the top seed in the Pac-12 tournament to win and cover the spread in this USC vs Arizona matchup. The Arizona Wildcats are averaging just under 90 points per game on the season. Look for them to exact revenge on a USC team that upset them in Los Angeles late in the regular season, and for USC to struggle after playing yesterday and needing a second-half comeback to beat a mediocre Washington team.
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NCAABB
USC Trojans
Arizona Wildcats
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| USC | Advanced Game Stats | ARZ |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0 | Pace | 70.2 |
| 110.4 | Off.Rate | 102.5 |
| .355 | FTr | .292 |
| .348 | 3PAr | .419 |
| .582 | TS% | .518 |
| 49.6 | TRB% | 45.3 |
| 56.5 | AST% | 53.2 |
| 9.1 | STL% | 9.1 |
| 8.7 | BLK% | 6.7 |
| .548 | eFG% | .486 |
| 15.7 | TOV% | 14.4 |
| 27.9 | ORB% | 28.5 |
| .263 | TF/FGA | .208 |
Defense/Offense
| USC | Advanced Game Stats | ARZ |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0 | Pace | 70.2 |
| 107.4 | Off.Rate | 115.6 |
| .346 | FTr | .366 |
| .387 | 3PAr | .346 |
| .557 | TS% | .573 |
| 50.4 | TRB% | 54.7 |
| 57.9 | AST% | 56.7 |
| 9.9 | STL% | 10.9 |
| 9.0 | BLK% | 12.0 |
| .519 | eFG% | .529 |
| 15.5 | TOV% | 13.8 |
| 30.2 | ORB% | 35.9 |
| .259 | TF/FGA | .287 |
Betting Trends
| USC | Betting Trends | ARZ |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 79.67 | Avg Score | 85.33 |
| 70.67 | Avg Opp Score | 75.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 78 | Avg Score | 89.33 |
| 74.67 | Avg Opp Score | 78.33 |
| USC | Betting Trends | ARZ |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 78.6 | Avg Score | 86.4 |
| 72.4 | Avg Opp Score | 73.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 72.8 | Avg Score | 91 |
| 75.8 | Avg Opp Score | 73.2 |
| USC | Betting Trends | ARZ |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 75.7 | Avg Score | 89.7 |
| 75.6 | Avg Opp Score | 75.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 70.3 | Avg Score | 89.4 |
| 78 | Avg Opp Score | 69.2 |
