Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Pick – 6/8/2025

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Atlanta Braves on June 8, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the standings. The Giants are currently 37-28, enjoying a solid season, while the Braves sit at 27-36, struggling to find their footing. In their previous matchup, the Braves fell to the Giants, heightening the stakes for today's game as they look to even the series.

On the mound, the Giants will send out Landen Roupp, who has had an inconsistent season with a 3-4 record and a commendable ERA of 3.18. However, his 3.86 SIERA suggests that he may have been a bit lucky thus far. Roupp projects to pitch 5.2 innings today, allowing around 2.3 earned runs, which is above average. He faces a Braves lineup that, despite ranking 15th in MLB offensively, has struggled to capitalize on opportunities this season.

Spencer Strider will take the ball for Atlanta, looking to turn around his disappointing 0-4 record and 5.68 ERA. Strider's projections indicate he may perform better today, with an expected 2.2 earned runs over 5.8 innings pitched. He has shown strikeout potential, projecting to fan 7.0 batters, which could be key against a Giants offense that ranks a dismal 25th in MLB.

With the Giants boasting the top-ranked bullpen in MLB, they will rely on their late-inning strength to secure a victory. Meanwhile, the Braves' bullpen sits in the middle of the pack at 18th. The Game Total is set at an average 8.0 runs, suggesting a close contest. Betting markets currently favor the Braves slightly, but with the Giants' strong performance and home-field advantage, they may just pull off a win today.

Quick Takes Atlanta Braves:

Among all starters, Spencer Strider's fastball velocity of 94.5 mph grades out in the 76th percentile this year.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Hitters such as Ozzie Albies with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landen Roupp who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Atlanta's 90-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in Major League Baseball: #5 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Considering that flyball pitchers have a significant edge over flyball hitters, Landen Roupp and his 45.5% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this outing facing 2 opposing FB hitters.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Mike Yastrzemski has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Braves 4.39, San Francisco Giants 3.81

• Date: June 8, 2025
• Venue: Oracle Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Spencer Strider - Braves
  • Landen Roupp - Giants

Visit the MLB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.