Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Prediction – 5/27/2025

The Kansas City Royals and Cincinnati Reds are set to face off in an intriguing interleague matchup on May 27, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium. After a tight contest yesterday, where the Reds edged out the Royals, both teams will be looking to gain momentum. The Royals enter the game with a solid 29-26 record, showcasing an above-average season, while the Reds are slightly below .500 at 27-28.

Kansas City is projected to start Daniel Lynch, a left-handed pitcher who has made 22 appearances out of the bullpen this year but has recently been effective with a stellar ERA of 1.57. However, his 5.36 xFIP suggests he may have been fortunate and could struggle moving forward. Lynch's projected performance today indicates he may not go deep into the game, averaging just 3.1 innings pitched while allowing 1.5 earned runs.

On the other side, Cincinnati will counter with Brady Singer, a right-handed pitcher with a 4.88 ERA. Singer has pitched 10 games this season and has a Win/Loss record of 5-3. His pitching profile indicates he may struggle as he allows an average of 2.7 earned runs and 5.9 hits per game, which could be problematic against a Royals offense that ranks 26th in the league.

With both teams' bullpens ranked 10th (Royals) and 18th (Reds), this matchup could hinge on the starting pitchers’ performances as they look to capitalize on each other’s weaknesses. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, indicating the potential for an evenly matched contest.

Quick Takes Cincinnati Reds:

Given that groundball batters have a sizeable advantage over flyball pitchers, Brady Singer and his 44.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in this game going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Ranking in the 98th percentile for base-stealing, Elly De La Cruz has average 43.8 swipes per 600 plate appearances this year.

• Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).

Cincinnati's 88.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in MLB: #28 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

With 8 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Daniel Lynch IV meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Bats such as Salvador Perez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's deepest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 46 games (+22.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Cincinnati Reds 4, Kansas City Royals 4.18

• Date: May 27, 2025
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Brady Singer - Reds
  • Daniel Lynch - Royals

Get daily MLB picks here.