Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 6/2/2025

As the Miami Marlins prepare to host the Colorado Rockies on June 2, 2025, both teams are struggling significantly this season, with the Marlins holding a record of 23-34 and the Rockies languishing at 9-50. The Rockies come into this matchup with the worst record in MLB, while the Marlins have been inconsistent and are looking to gain some momentum.

The Marlins will send Max Meyer to the mound, who is projected to pitch an average of 6.0 innings and allow just 2.3 earned runs today, which is impressive. Meanwhile, German Marquez will start for the Rockies, and while he has been one of the worst pitchers in the league this year, his projections suggest he may perform slightly better than his current numbers indicate. Meyer’s ERA of 4.53 is average for this season, and he has been somewhat unlucky, as highlighted by his xFIP of 3.30, which stands 1.23 points lower than his ERA.

In of offensive capabilities, the Marlins rank 19th in MLB, indicating they have an average lineup, while the Rockies bring up the rear at 30th, struggling to generate runs. Given the disparity in team records and offensive performance, the Marlins enter this game as significant betting favorites with a moneyline of -195. With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, this matchup offers an intriguing opportunity for bettors, especially considering the projections favor a Miami win. The Marlins could capitalize on their home advantage and Meyer’s solid performance against a Rockies offense that has been unable to find its footing this season.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. German Marquez has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 56.9% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

• Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.

Miami's #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Ezequiel Tovar, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Miami Marlins:

Max Meyer's fastball spin rate has increased 125 rpm this year (2511 rpm) over where it was last season (2386 rpm).

• Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.

Kyle Stowers has big-time HR ability (91st percentile) if he makes , but that's usually a big "IF" (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher German Marquez is a pitch-to- type (13th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.

• If he is less likely to strikeout, he'll be more likely to make , which is often hard, home-run .

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Miami Marlins offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

• When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Game Trends

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.37 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.70 Units / 117% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Colorado Rockies 3.9, Miami Marlins 4.39

• Date: June 2, 2025
• Venue: LoanDepot Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • German Marquez - Rockies
  • Max Meyer - Marlins

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