Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 6/2/2025

On June 2, 2025, the Cincinnati Reds will host the Milwaukee Brewers in a pivotal National League Central matchup at Great American Ball Park. Both teams are closely matched in the standings, with the Reds sitting at 29-31, and the Brewers slightly ahead at 32-28. This game marks the first in their series, and both teams are looking to build momentum as they navigate through the season.

In their most recent outings, the Reds have struggled, and while they looked to improve, they remain in below-average form. Brady Singer is projected to take the mound for Cincinnati. While he has a decent Win/Loss record of 6-3 this year and an average ERA of 4.60, his advanced ranking at #136 out of approximately 350 pitchers indicates he is not at his peak. Singer's projections suggest he will pitch about 5.8 innings, allowing around 2.8 earned runs while striking out 4.7 batters, which is below average.

On the other hand, Aaron Civale will start for Milwaukee. Civale has struggled mightily this season, with an ERA of 6.00 and a Win/Loss record of 0-1 over only 3 starts. His 5.46 xFIP suggests he may have been unfortunate, but he still ranks as one of the worst pitchers in MLB. Based on projections, Civale is expected to pitch around 5.0 innings, yielding 2.9 earned runs with a below-average strikeout rate of 4.2.

The Reds' offense, ranking 12th overall, holds the advantage in batting, but their 17th ranking in team batting average shows inconsistency. In contrast, the Brewers' offense ranks a disappointing 21st, despite their impressive speed on the base paths, being 2nd in stolen bases.

With a high Game Total of 9.5 runs set by oddsmakers, bettors should keep an eye on how these pitchers perform, especially considering the Reds' implied team total of 4.86 runs, which hints at potential scoring opportunities in this matchup.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Aaron Civale is an extreme flyball pitcher (38% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #1 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.

• This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Joey Ortiz's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87.8-mph average last season has fallen to 83.8-mph.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Milwaukee Brewers bats as a group grade out 30th- in the league for power this year when using their 6.2% Barrel%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Quick Takes Cincinnati Reds:

Brady Singer's slider rate has decreased by 10.2% from last season to this one (45.5% to 35.3%) .

• Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.

Milwaukee's #3-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Elly De La Cruz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.9, Cincinnati Reds 5.02

• Date: June 2, 2025
• Venue: Great American Ball Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Aaron Civale - Brewers
  • Brady Singer - Reds

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