New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies Pick – 5/24/2025

On May 24, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the New York Yankees at Coors Field in an Interleague matchup. The Yankees come into this game looking to get back on track after losing to Colorado last night, while the Rockies are struggling with a dismal 9-42 record this season, making them significant underdogs in this contest.

The Rockies are projected to start Kyle Freeland, who has had a tough year with a 0-6 record and a 5.68 ERA. While Freeland's xFIP of 3.49 suggests he has been unlucky, he still faces a daunting challenge against a Yankees lineup that ranks 1st in MLB in offense and has been crushing opposing pitchers. The projections indicate Freeland will pitch around 5.0 innings, allowing an average of 3.7 earned runs, which is less than ideal against a potent Yankees offense.

Conversely, the Yankees will counter with Max Fried, who boasts an impressive 6-0 record and a stellar 1.29 ERA. Fried's 51% groundball rate should play well against a Rockies team that has struggled to generate power, ranking 27th in home runs this season. Fried's ability to limit walks and keep the ball on the ground could neutralize the Rockies' offense, which ranks 28th in MLB.

Given the disparity in team performance and individual matchups, the Yankees are heavily favored with a moneyline of -335, while the Rockies sit at +280. The Game Total is set at a high 10.5 runs, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring affair, primarily driven by the Yankees’ offensive prowess. With the Rockies' current form and the elite status of Fried, this matchup heavily favors New York.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Colorado's #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for DJ LeMahieu, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees' bullpen grades out as the 6th-best among all MLB teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Kyle Freeland is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #6 HR venue in the league — in this game.

• This pitcher's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.

In the last week, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Aaron Schunk in the 6th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that s for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.37 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.17 Units / 27% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: New York Yankees 6.71, Colorado Rockies 4.51

• Date: May 24, 2025
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Max Fried - Yankees
  • Kyle Freeland - Rockies

Check out all our free picks on every MLB game daily in our MLB betting section.