Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers Betting Pick & Preview – 4/10/2024

Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers Overview

• Date: April 10, 2024
• Venue: Globe Life Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Ross Stripling - Athletics
  • Cody Bradford - Rangers
• Run Line: Athletics 1.5 -130, Rangers -1.5 110
• Money Line: Athletics 165, Rangers -190
• Total (Over/Under):9 -120

Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 37%
• Texas Rangers - 63%

Projected Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 35.38%
• Texas Rangers - 64.62%

Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers Game Preview & Prediction

In this MLB game scheduled for April 10, 2024, the Texas Rangers will be hosting the Oakland Athletics at Globe Life Field. This matchup features two teams from the American League West division. The Rangers currently hold a record of 6-5 this season, indicating an above-average performance so far, while the Athletics have struggled with a record of 4-7.

On the pitching side, the Rangers are projected to start left-handed pitcher Cody Bradford, who has been having a strong season with a 2-0 record and an impressive ERA of 2.13. However, his peripheral indicator, xFIP, suggests that he may have been lucky and could regress in his future performances. On the other hand, the Athletics will be sending out right-handed pitcher Ross Stripling, who has struggled this season with an 0-2 record and an ERA of 3.75.

Looking at the offensive rankings, the Rangers have been impressive so far, ranking as the 5th best offense in MLB and holding the 2nd best team batting average. They have shown power at the plate, ranking 5th in team home runs. However, their stolen base ranking is low, sitting at 25th. On the other hand, the Athletics have struggled offensively, ranking 25th overall and holding the 30th position in team batting average. However, their ability to steal bases has been a bright spot, ranking 5th in the league.

Both teams have contrasting performances from their bullpens, with the Rangers' bullpen ranking 10th best in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, while the Athletics' bullpen ranks 26th.

In of betting odds, the Rangers are the favorites with a moneyline of -185 and an implied win probability of 63%. The Athletics are considered underdogs with a moneyline of +160 and an implied win probability of 37%. The current Game Total for this matchup is set at 9.0 runs.

Considering the projections, the Rangers are expected to have a higher team total of 5.14 runs compared to the Athletics' average team total of 3.86 runs.

Overall, this matchup between the Rangers and the Athletics showcases a contrast in performance, with the Rangers having an above-average season while the Athletics have struggled. With Cody Bradford on the mound, the Rangers' solid offense, and the favorable betting odds, they seem to have the advantage in this game.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Ross Stripling has been given a below-average leash since the start of last season, throwing 12 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

• Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.

The Oakland Athletics bullpen profiles as the 5th-worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

Cody Bradford has a large reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 8 opposite-handed bats in this game.

• A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Marcus Semien is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Oakland (#1-worst of the day).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

In today's matchup, Wyatt Langford is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.3% rate (94th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Final Score Prediction: Oakland Athletics 3.97 vs Texas Rangers 5.12

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.