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  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Bailey Ober will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bailey Ober has utilized his slider 13.1% more often this year (25%) than he did last year (11.9%).

Considering the 1.15 discrepancy between Bailey Ober's 7.26 K/9 and his 8.41 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to positively regress in future games.

Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Bailey Ober notched a 12.4% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Toronto Blue Jays (18.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams today.

Jordan Baker grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today's game.

Because groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Bailey Ober and his 42.9% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's game being matched up with 2 opposing GB bats.

Bailey Ober's 89.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.8-mph fall off from last season's 91.7-mph mark.

Bailey Ober is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -175

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Jordan Baker grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today's game.

Because groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Bailey Ober and his 42.9% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's game being matched up with 2 opposing GB bats.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

In his last outing, Bailey Ober gave up a whopping 8 earned runs.

Bailey Ober's 89.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.8-mph fall off from last season's 91.7-mph mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Bailey Ober's overall pitching talent ranks in the 79th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #21 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Bailey Ober will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bailey Ober has utilized his slider 13.1% more often this year (25%) than he did last year (11.9%).

Bailey Ober is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -175

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Bailey Ober's overall pitching talent ranks in the 79th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #21 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Bailey Ober will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bailey Ober has utilized his slider 13.1% more often this year (25%) than he did last year (11.9%).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Jordan Baker grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today's game.

Because groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Bailey Ober and his 42.9% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's game being matched up with 2 opposing GB bats.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

In his last outing, Bailey Ober gave up a whopping 8 earned runs.

Bailey Ober's 89.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.8-mph fall off from last season's 91.7-mph mark.

Bailey Ober is projected to have 17.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Bailey Ober Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-155)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-160)
-
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-145)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (118)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-165)
-
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-165)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-150)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (125)
ov 17.5 (-180)
un 17.5 (135)
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (125)
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (120)
ov 17.5 (-150)
un 17.5 (120)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (109)
un 4.5 (-141)
ov 4.5 (115)
un 4.5 (-150)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-130)
ov 4.5 (115)
un 4.5 (-150)
ov 4.5 (110)
un 4.5 (-140)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (157)
un 1.5 (-212)
ov 1.5 (155)
un 1.5 (-215)
-
-
ov 1.5 (160)
un 1.5 (-210)

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MLB Player Props Bailey Ober Projections, Prop Bets & Odds