Ben Brown Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -170

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Brown in today's matchup.

Ben Brown's 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.7-mph decline from last year's 96.5-mph mark.

Among all SPs, Ben Brown's fastball spin rate of 2213 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ben Brown has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 59% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

As a team, Detroit Tigers hitters have performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating best in the majors.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Detroit Tigers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Emil Jimenez projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.

Ben Brown is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #23 HR venue in MLB in today's game.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Ben Brown is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -111

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Detroit Tigers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Emil Jimenez projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.

Ben Brown is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #23 HR venue in MLB in today's game.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Tallying 14.7 outs per GS this year on average, Ben Brown checks in at the 23rd percentile.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Brown in today's matchup.

Ben Brown's 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.7-mph decline from last year's 96.5-mph mark.

Among all SPs, Ben Brown's fastball spin rate of 2213 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ben Brown has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 59% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Ben Brown is projected to have 15.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -135

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 93rd percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler).

Emil Jimenez projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a notable advantage over groundball hitters, Ben Brown and his 33.7% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in today's outing being matched up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Checking in at the 84th percentile, Ben Brown put up a 12.5% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Brown in today's matchup.

Ben Brown's 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.7-mph decline from last year's 96.5-mph mark.

Among all SPs, Ben Brown's fastball spin rate of 2213 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ben Brown has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 59% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

With a 1.02 deviation between Ben Brown's 11.28 K/9 and his 10.25 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in of strikeouts and figures to perform worse in future games.

Ben Brown is projected to have 6 Strikeouts in today's game.