Brandon Pfaadt Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 125

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -156

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Brandon Pfaadt has averaged 93.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Brandon Pfaadt has used his change-up 5.8% more often this year (17.6%) than he did last year (11.8%).

Brandon Pfaadt's 2567-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 100th percentile among all SPs.

Brandon Pfaadt has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.99 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.33 — a 1.34 K/9 gap.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 19.9% underlying K%.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) calling pitches today.

The #9 field in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt's fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this season (92.7 mph) below where it was last year (93.9 mph).

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) calling pitches today.

In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt's fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this season (92.7 mph) below where it was last year (93.9 mph).

Considering the 1.31 discrepancy between Brandon Pfaadt's 3.81 ERA and his 5.12 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year and figures to see negative regression going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the worst stadium in MLB for home runs.

The 2nd-deepest RF fences in the league are found in Busch Stadium.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Brandon Pfaadt is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #28 HR venue in MLB in today's game.

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -110

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Brandon Pfaadt has averaged 93.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the worst stadium in MLB for home runs.

The 2nd-deepest RF fences in the league are found in Busch Stadium.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) calling pitches today.

In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt's fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this season (92.7 mph) below where it was last year (93.9 mph).

Considering the 1.31 discrepancy between Brandon Pfaadt's 3.81 ERA and his 5.12 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year and figures to see negative regression going forward.

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 17.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.