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Home Runs

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Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 525

Home Runs 0.5 under: -769

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carson Kelly ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carson Kelly has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last year to 15% this season.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 54°.

Tanner Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Carson Kelly in today's matchup.

Despite posting a .437 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carson Kelly has experienced some positive variance given the .108 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

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Total Bases

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Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 1.5 over: 140

Total Bases 1.5 under: -172

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carson Kelly has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last year to 15% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 9th-worst field in the majors for run-scoring.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 54°.

Tanner Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Carson Kelly in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 1.2 Total Bases in today's game.

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Hits

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Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -227

Hits 0.5 under: 175

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carson Kelly has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last year to 15% this season.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 54°.

Tanner Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Carson Kelly in today's matchup.

Despite posting a .437 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carson Kelly has experienced some positive variance given the .108 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.7 Hits in today's game.

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RBIs

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RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 160

RBIs 0.5 under: -200

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carson Kelly has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last year to 15% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 9th-worst field in the majors for run-scoring.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 54°.

Tanner Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Carson Kelly in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in today's game.

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Hits Runs and RBIs

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Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: -135

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carson Kelly has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last year to 15% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 9th-worst field in the majors for run-scoring.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 54°.

Tanner Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Carson Kelly in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 1.6 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

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Carson Kelly Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings BetMGM Caesars
Doubles
ov 0.5 (395)
un 0.5 (-612)
ov 0.5 (390)
un 0.5 (-600)
ov 0.5 (400)
un 0.5 (-625)
-
Singles
ov 0.5 (-116)
un 0.5 (-119)
ov 0.5 (-115)
un 0.5 (-125)
ov 0.5 (-110)
un 0.5 (-118)
ov 0.5 (-121)
un 0.5 (-113)
Total Bases
ov 1.5 (133)
un 1.5 (-187)
ov 1.5 (130)
un 1.5 (-185)
ov 1.5 (130)
un 1.5 (-190)
ov 1.5 (133)
un 1.5 (-184)
Total Hits
ov 0.5 (-223)
un 0.5 (164)
ov 0.5 (-225)
un 0.5 (165)
ov 0.5 (-220)
un 0.5 (170)
ov 0.5 (-224)
un 0.5 (159)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 1.5 (-124)
un 1.5 (-108)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-110)
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-105)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-109)
Total Home Runs
ov 0.5 (562)
un 0.5 (-1008)
-
ov 0.5 (525)
un 0.5 (-750)
-
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (152)
un 0.5 (-213)
ov 0.5 (150)
un 0.5 (-215)
ov 0.5 (155)
un 0.5 (-210)
ov 0.5 (152)
un 0.5 (-214)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (114)
un 0.5 (-158)
ov 0.5 (115)
un 0.5 (-160)
ov 0.5 (115)
un 0.5 (-160)
ov 0.5 (112)
un 0.5 (-154)
Total Walks
ov 0.5 (181)
un 0.5 (-259)
ov 0.5 (185)
un 0.5 (-265)
-
ov 0.5 (178)
un 0.5 (-254)

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MLB Player Props Carson Kelly Projections, Prop Bets & Odds