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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Clay Holmes's overall pitching ability ranks in the 90th percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.

The 4th-worst projected lineup on the slate in of overall hitting ability is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #2 park in the game for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) calling pitches in this game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Positioned 3rd-steepest in the game this year, Chicago White Sox hitters as a unit have recorded a 16.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

Clay Holmes is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) calling pitches in this game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Positioned 3rd-steepest in the game this year, Chicago White Sox hitters as a unit have recorded a 16.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Clay Holmes's overall pitching ability ranks in the 90th percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.

The 4th-worst projected lineup on the slate in of overall hitting ability is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #2 park in the game for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Clay Holmes is projected to have 1.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 114

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -152

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field profiles as the #4 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 6th-driest conditions of the day at 39%.

Because groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Clay Holmes (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) calling pitches in this game.

Considering the 0.37 disparity between Clay Holmes's 8.73 K/9 and his 8.35 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.

Clay Holmes is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Clay Holmes Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-111)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
-
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (-105)
ov 4.5 (-117)
un 4.5 (-117)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-142)
un 1.5 (103)
ov 1.5 (-155)
un 1.5 (115)
-
ov 1.5 (-150)
un 1.5 (105)
ov 1.5 (-129)
un 1.5 (-106)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-141)
un 17.5 (103)
ov 17.5 (-140)
un 17.5 (100)
ov 17.5 (-132)
un 17.5 (102)
ov 17.5 (-135)
un 17.5 (-105)
ov 17.5 (-142)
un 17.5 (104)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-154)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (116)
un 5.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (125)
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (125)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-174)
un 1.5 (126)

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MLB Player Props Clay Holmes Projections, Prop Bets & Odds