Corbin Burnes Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 115

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Corbin Burnes in the 79th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Throwing 95.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Corbin Burnes places in the 90th percentile.

Given that flyball pitchers hold a notable advantage over flyball hitters, Corbin Burnes and his 46.8% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in this outing matching up with 6 opposing FB hitters.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Corbin Burnes will hold that advantage today.

In his last outing, Corbin Burnes was in good form and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Corbin Burnes's 1805-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 4th percentile out of all starters.

Corbin Burnes is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 110

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Corbin Burnes's overall pitching talent ranks in the 91st percentile out of all starters in the league currently.

Throwing 95.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Corbin Burnes places in the 90th percentile.

The 5th-weakest projected offense of the day in of overall batting skill is that of the the Washington Nationals.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Washington Nationals offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Chase Field.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Corbin Burnes's 1805-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 4th percentile out of all starters.

Corbin Burnes has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.72 mark is deflated compared to his 4.22 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Corbin Burnes has put up a .243 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Corbin Burnes is projected to have 18.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -166

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Corbin Burnes's 1805-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 4th percentile out of all starters.

Corbin Burnes has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.72 mark is deflated compared to his 4.22 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Corbin Burnes has put up a .243 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Corbin Burnes's overall pitching talent ranks in the 91st percentile out of all starters in the league currently.

The 5th-weakest projected offense of the day in of overall batting skill is that of the the Washington Nationals.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Washington Nationals offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Chase Field.

The league's 10th-highest fences can be found at Chase Field.

Corbin Burnes is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.