Hayden Birdsong Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -150

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hayden Birdsong in the 88th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

The #10 stadium in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.

Hayden Birdsong's 2416-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a big 125-rpm jump from last season's 2291-rpm rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Taking into both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Birdsong is projected to throw 82 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Hayden Birdsong (36.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Miami's projected batting order.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hayden Birdsong today.

Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 168

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -230

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's RF fences are the 4th-deepest.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.

Hayden Birdsong is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #24 HR venue among all parks today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Taking into both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Birdsong is projected to throw 82 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for walks.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Hayden Birdsong (36.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Miami's projected batting order.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hayden Birdsong today.

Considering the 2.21 gap between Hayden Birdsong's 2.48 ERA and his 4.69 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to see negative regression the rest of the season.

Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 14.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for walks.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Hayden Birdsong (36.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Miami's projected batting order.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hayden Birdsong today.

Considering the 2.21 gap between Hayden Birdsong's 2.48 ERA and his 4.69 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to see negative regression the rest of the season.

The Miami Marlins as a group rank 6th- overall in MLB this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's RF fences are the 4th-deepest.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.

Hayden Birdsong is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #24 HR venue among all parks today.

Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.