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Matthew Boyd

Chicago Cubs

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Cincinnati Reds

06:40 PM

May 23, 2025

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Chicago Cubs

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -180

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in baseball for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 7th-strongest of the day for hitters.

The Cincinnati Reds have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.

Matthew Boyd is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #1 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Matthew Boyd's overall pitching skill ranks in the 86th percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.

The 3rd-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate today in of overall hitting skill is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Matthew Boyd performed well in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.

Matthew Boyd has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game on balls in play this year with a .321 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Matthew Boyd has recorded a 4.32 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

Matthew Boyd is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -145

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Matthew Boyd's overall pitching skill ranks in the 86th percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.

Matthew Boyd has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

The 3rd-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate today in of overall hitting skill is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Matthew Boyd performed well in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.

Matthew Boyd has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game on balls in play this year with a .321 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in baseball for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 7th-strongest of the day for hitters.

The Cincinnati Reds have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.

Matthew Boyd is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #1 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Matthew Boyd is projected to have 15.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -148

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 116

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Matthew Boyd in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

Matthew Boyd has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain, Rece Hinds).

Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Matthew Boyd has put up a 26.8% Strikeout% this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 7th-strongest of the day for hitters.

The Cincinnati Reds have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.

Matthew Boyd will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Matthew Boyd is projected to have 5.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Matthew Boyd Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-123)
un 4.5 (-113)
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-110)
-
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-115)
ov 4.5 (-121)
un 4.5 (-113)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-165)
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
-
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-166)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-111)
un 17.5 (-125)
ov 17.5 (105)
un 17.5 (-145)
ov 17.5 (-110)
un 17.5 (-120)
ov 17.5 (-135)
un 17.5 (-105)
ov 17.5 (-106)
un 17.5 (-129)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-129)
un 5.5 (-106)
ov 5.5 (-140)
un 5.5 (105)
-
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (100)
ov 5.5 (-137)
un 5.5 (100)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-123)
un 1.5 (-114)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-115)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-121)
un 1.5 (-113)

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MLB Player Props Matthew Boyd Projections, Prop Bets & Odds