Matthew Liberatore Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 130

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -167

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) calling pitches today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Matthew Liberatore will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matthew Liberatore's high usage rate of his secondary pitches (61% this year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.6% underlying K%.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #22 stadium in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 8 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Matthew Liberatore will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Matthew Liberatore's 2056-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 7th percentile out of all starters.

Matthew Liberatore is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -141

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Generating 17.4 outs per outing this year on average, Matthew Liberatore falls in the 86th percentile.

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup today (.324 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .337 wOBA this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) calling pitches today.

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.

With 8 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Matthew Liberatore will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Matthew Liberatore's 2056-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 7th percentile out of all starters.

Matthew Liberatore has been lucky this year, posting a 2.92 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.38 — a 1.46 difference.

Arizona Diamondbacks hitters as a group rank among the best in baseball this year (6th-) when assessing their 90.1-mph average exit velocity.

Matthew Liberatore is projected to have 16.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.

With 8 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Matthew Liberatore will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Matthew Liberatore's 2056-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 7th percentile out of all starters.

Matthew Liberatore has been lucky this year, posting a 2.92 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.38 — a 1.46 difference.

Arizona Diamondbacks hitters as a group rank among the best in baseball this year (6th-) when assessing their 90.1-mph average exit velocity.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup today (.324 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .337 wOBA this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) calling pitches today.

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The 2nd-deepest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Busch Stadium.

Matthew Liberatore is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.