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Merrill Kelly

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Atlanta Braves

07:15 PM

Jun 4, 2025

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Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Merrill Kelly's overall pitching ability ranks in the 79th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

Merrill Kelly has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Roberto Ortiz projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Truist Park has the 2nd-deepest LF fences in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Atlanta Braves projected batting order ranks as the 2nd-strongest on the slate in of overall batting skill.

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 77%.

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 16.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -167

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Merrill Kelly has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Roberto Ortiz projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.9-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 77%.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.

Merrill Kelly wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out in his previous GS and compiled 1 Ks.

Merrill Kelly's cutter usage has decreased by 7% from last year to this one (25.2% to 18.2%) .

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 4.9 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Atlanta Braves projected batting order ranks as the 2nd-strongest on the slate in of overall batting skill.

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 77%.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Merrill Kelly's overall pitching ability ranks in the 79th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

Roberto Ortiz projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Truist Park has the 2nd-deepest LF fences in the league.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.9-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Merrill Kelly Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-127)
un 5.5 (-108)
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-115)
-
ov 5.5 (-140)
un 5.5 (100)
ov 5.5 (-129)
un 5.5 (-106)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-123)
un 2.5 (-110)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
ov 2.5 (-130)
un 2.5 (-110)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-109)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-139)
un 17.5 (103)
ov 17.5 (-125)
un 17.5 (100)
ov 17.5 (-144)
un 17.5 (108)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (110)
ov 17.5 (-142)
un 17.5 (104)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (126)
un 5.5 (-168)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (110)
ov 5.5 (126)
un 5.5 (-162)
ov 5.5 (135)
un 5.5 (-175)
ov 5.5 (126)
un 5.5 (-174)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-110)
un 1.5 (-125)
ov 1.5 (-110)
un 1.5 (-125)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-109)
un 1.5 (-125)

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