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Michael Wacha

Kansas City Royals

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Minnesota Twins

02:10 PM

May 24, 2025

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Kansas City Royals

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -150

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Wacha in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Generating 17 outs per game per started this year on average, Michael Wacha falls in the 75th percentile.

The 2nd-weakest projected lineup of all teams today in of overall batting ability is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Nestor Ceja grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in the majors.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Target Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Michael Wacha will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Michael Wacha's 92.5-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.1-mph decline from last season's 93.6-mph figure.

Michael Wacha has used his change-up 7.5% less often this year (24.8%) than he did last season (32.3%).

Michael Wacha's 2166-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 10th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Michael Wacha is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Target Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Michael Wacha will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Michael Wacha's 92.5-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.1-mph decline from last season's 93.6-mph figure.

Michael Wacha has used his change-up 7.5% less often this year (24.8%) than he did last season (32.3%).

Michael Wacha's 2166-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 10th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Wacha in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

The 2nd-weakest projected lineup of all teams today in of overall batting ability is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Nestor Ceja grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in the majors.

In the majors, the 5th-highest fence height (on average) are at Target Field.

Michael Wacha is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -105

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Nestor Ceja grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Target Field profiles as the #8 park in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-least humidity of all games on the slate at 38%.

Given the 1.16 discrepancy between Michael Wacha's 6.83 K/9 and his 7.99 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see better results going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.

Michael Wacha will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

In his previous GS, Michael Wacha wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Michael Wacha's 92.5-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.1-mph decline from last season's 93.6-mph figure.

Michael Wacha has used his change-up 7.5% less often this year (24.8%) than he did last season (32.3%).

Michael Wacha is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Michael Wacha Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-103)
un 5.5 (-136)
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-135)
-
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-130)
ov 5.5 (-103)
un 5.5 (-133)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-159)
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-155)
-
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-160)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-131)
un 17.5 (-105)
ov 17.5 (-130)
un 17.5 (-105)
ov 17.5 (-135)
un 17.5 (102)
ov 17.5 (-130)
un 17.5 (-110)
ov 17.5 (-133)
un 17.5 (-103)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-111)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (-110)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (-111)
un 4.5 (-115)
ov 4.5 (-110)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (-117)
un 4.5 (-117)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-166)
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-165)
-
-
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-166)

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