Mitch Keller Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -135

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Throwing 94.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Mitch Keller checks in at the 88th percentile.

This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Mitch Keller will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mitch Keller has relied on his slider 8.7% more often this season (33.8%) than he did last season (25.1%).

Among all starting pitchers, Mitch Keller's fastball spin rate of 2405 rpm is in the 81st percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Henry Davis, the Pirates's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #3 field in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.

Considering that groundball hitters have a big edge over flyball pitchers, Mitch Keller and his 31.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot in this matchup facing 3 opposing GB hitters.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

Henry Davis, the Pirates's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park projects as the #5 venue in the league for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The league's 6th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at PNC Park.

This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Mitch Keller is an extreme flyball pitcher (31.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #26 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Mitch Keller will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 138

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -188

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Throwing 94.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Mitch Keller checks in at the 88th percentile.

The league's 6th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at PNC Park.

This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Mitch Keller is an extreme flyball pitcher (31.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #26 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

Henry Davis, the Pirates's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park projects as the #5 venue in the league for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 17.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.