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Nathan Eovaldi

Texas Rangers

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Texas Rangers

08:05 PM

May 27, 2025

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Toronto Blue Jays

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

This game is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Given that groundball batters have a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi and his 46.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this matchup squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.

The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Nathan Eovaldi's overall pitching talent is in the 89th percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for base hits.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Nathan Eovaldi will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nathan Eovaldi is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 120

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Nathan Eovaldi's overall pitching talent is in the 89th percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.

Throwing 92.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Nathan Eovaldi checks in at the 78th percentile.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for base hits.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

This game is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Given that groundball batters have a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi and his 46.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this matchup squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.

The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Nathan Eovaldi is projected to have 18.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 118

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Nathan Eovaldi in the 88th percentile among all starters in the majors.

Throwing 92.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Nathan Eovaldi checks in at the 78th percentile.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Nathan Eovaldi will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In his previous GS, Nathan Eovaldi was on point and posted 9 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Toronto Blue Jays (18.6 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of hitters of the day.

This game is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Given that groundball batters have a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi and his 46.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this matchup squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.

Nathan Eovaldi's 93.5-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.9-mph drop off from last year's 95.4-mph mark.

Among all starters, Nathan Eovaldi's fastball spin rate of 2213 rpm ranks in the 24th percentile this year.

Nathan Eovaldi is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Nathan Eovaldi Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-122)
un 5.5 (-113)
ov 5.5 (-125)
un 5.5 (-110)
-
ov 5.5 (-130)
un 5.5 (-110)
ov 5.5 (-125)
un 5.5 (-109)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (124)
un 2.5 (-172)
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-175)
-
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-175)
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-160)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (119)
un 18.5 (-163)
ov 18.5 (115)
un 18.5 (-155)
ov 18.5 (126)
un 18.5 (-165)
ov 18.5 (115)
un 18.5 (-160)
ov 18.5 (133)
un 18.5 (-184)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (116)
un 5.5 (-153)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (118)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (116)
un 5.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (132)
un 1.5 (-187)
ov 1.5 (125)
un 1.5 (-180)
-
-
ov 1.5 (139)
un 1.5 (-194)

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MLB Player Props Nathan Eovaldi Projections, Prop Bets & Odds