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Nick Lodolo

Cincinnati Reds

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Cincinnati Reds

01:40 PM

May 25, 2025

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Chicago Cubs

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -103

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -133

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in of overall hitting ability is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in baseball for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Nick Lodolo (45.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Chicago's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Chicago Cubs offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games today.

Nick Lodolo is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #1 HR venue among all stadiums — in this matchup.

Nick Lodolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Nick Lodolo turned in a great performance in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

Nick Lodolo is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 130

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Throwing 92.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Nick Lodolo checks in at the 79th percentile.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games today.

Nick Lodolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Nick Lodolo has utilized his change-up 6% more often this year (22.5%) than he did last season (16.5%).

Considering the 0.99 discrepancy between Nick Lodolo's 7.52 K/9 and his 8.50 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to positively regress going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Chicago Cubs with a 20.2% underlying K%.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) calling pitches in today's game.

The #10 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Nick Lodolo (45.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Chicago's projected batting order.

In his previous GS, Nick Lodolo wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.

Nick Lodolo is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -152

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Throwing 92.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Nick Lodolo checks in at the 79th percentile.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Chicago Cubs offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games today.

Nick Lodolo is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #1 HR venue among all stadiums — in this matchup.

Nick Lodolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in of overall hitting ability is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in baseball for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Nick Lodolo (45.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Chicago's projected batting order.

Nick Lodolo is projected to have 16 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Nick Lodolo Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-108)
un 5.5 (-128)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-130)
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ov 5.5 (-106)
un 5.5 (-129)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-128)
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-125)
-
ov 2.5 (-103)
un 2.5 (-133)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-144)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (110)
ov 17.5 (-148)
un 17.5 (112)
ov 17.5 (-133)
un 17.5 (-103)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-144)
un 4.5 (110)
ov 4.5 (-165)
un 4.5 (130)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (104)
ov 4.5 (-142)
un 4.5 (104)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-105)
un 1.5 (-135)
ov 1.5 (-105)
un 1.5 (-135)
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