Ryan Gusto Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -160

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Minute Maid Park projects as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The 10.7% Barrel% of the Seattle Mariners makes them the #4 club in the game this year by this metric.

Seattle has performed as the #2 team in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.2% rate this year).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Victor Caratini, the Astros's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest average fence height among all major league parks.

Because flyball pitchers have a substantial advantage over flyball bats, Ryan Gusto and his 36.9% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot today squaring off against 3 opposing FB bats.

Ryan Gusto will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Ryan Gusto is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 140

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -182

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Victor Caratini, the Astros's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #6 venue in the game for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Because flyball pitchers have a substantial advantage over flyball bats, Ryan Gusto and his 36.9% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot today squaring off against 3 opposing FB bats.

Ryan Gusto will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Gusto to throw 82 pitches in today's game (3rd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Considering the 1.51 discrepancy between Ryan Gusto's 9.29 K/9 and his 7.78 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform worse going forward.

Ryan Gusto is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.