Seth Lugo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) behind the plate in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #1 stadium in the game for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Seth Lugo has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.

Seth Lugo has utilized his curveball 5% less often this season (21.3%) than he did last season (26.3%).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Detroit Tigers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest RF dimensions in the majors.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 39%.

Seth Lugo is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #30 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage today.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -120

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dillon Dingler, Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson).

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 39%.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage today.

With a 1.19 deviation between Seth Lugo's 6.67 K/9 and his 7.87 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in of strikeouts and figures to perform better the rest of the season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Lugo to throw 81 pitches today (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) behind the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Seth Lugo has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Detroit Tigers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest RF dimensions in the majors.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 39%.

Seth Lugo is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #30 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Lugo to throw 81 pitches today (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) behind the plate in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #1 stadium in the game for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Seth Lugo has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 14.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.