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Shane Baz

Tampa Bay Rays

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Houston Astros

08:10 PM

May 29, 2025

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Tampa Bay Rays

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -144

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Baz in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Tallying 93.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Shane Baz places him the 80th percentile.

The Houston Astros projected lineup profiles as the 4th-weakest on the slate today in of overall offensive skill.

Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Matt Thaiss, the Rays's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.

This game is projected to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Shane Baz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Shane Baz has posted a 5.05 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the variables most within a pitcher's control) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Shane Baz is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Matt Thaiss, the Rays's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.

This game is projected to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Shane Baz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Shane Baz has posted a 5.05 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the variables most within a pitcher's control) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Baz in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

The Houston Astros projected lineup profiles as the 4th-weakest on the slate today in of overall offensive skill.

Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today.

Given that flyball pitchers have a substantial edge over flyball batters, Shane Baz and his 42.7% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position today squaring off against 2 opposing FB batters.

Shane Baz is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -132

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 104

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Tallying 93.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Shane Baz places him the 80th percentile.

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

Given that flyball pitchers have a substantial edge over flyball batters, Shane Baz and his 42.7% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position today squaring off against 2 opposing FB batters.

In his previous start, Shane Baz performed well and accumulated 10 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Houston Astros with a 22.7% underlying K%.

Matt Thaiss, the Rays's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This game is projected to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Shane Baz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Shane Baz is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Shane Baz Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-154)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-155)
-
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (108)
un 5.5 (-148)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-153)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
-
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
ov 2.5 (108)
un 2.5 (-148)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-137)
un 17.5 (100)
ov 17.5 (-135)
un 17.5 (100)
ov 17.5 (-144)
un 17.5 (110)
ov 17.5 (-135)
un 17.5 (-105)
ov 17.5 (-133)
un 17.5 (-103)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-129)
un 4.5 (-103)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (100)
ov 4.5 (-132)
un 4.5 (104)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (100)
ov 4.5 (-133)
un 4.5 (-103)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-144)
un 1.5 (102)
ov 1.5 (-150)
un 1.5 (105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-137)
un 1.5 (100)

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