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Shane Smith

Chicago White Sox

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Chicago White Sox

02:10 PM

May 21, 2025

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Seattle Mariners

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Seattle Mariners have been the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 51°.

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #8 HR venue in MLB — in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Shane Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.

Shane Smith was on point in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shane Smith to throw 83 pitches today (7th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Lance Barksdale projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Matt Thaiss (the White Sox's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Guaranteed Rate Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest.

Shane Smith is projected to have 14.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Lance Barksdale projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Matt Thaiss (the White Sox's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Guaranteed Rate Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Seattle Mariners have been the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 51°.

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #8 HR venue in MLB — in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Shane Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.

Shane Smith was on point in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.

Shane Smith is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -170

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 51°.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Shane Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Shane Smith compiled a 12.5% Swinging Strike% this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shane Smith to throw 83 pitches today (7th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Lance Barksdale projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Matt Thaiss (the White Sox's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

The #7 venue in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Shane Smith is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Shane Smith Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-111)
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (-105)
-
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (-105)
ov 4.5 (-121)
un 4.5 (-113)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (101)
un 2.5 (-139)
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-135)
-
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-140)
ov 2.5 (104)
un 2.5 (-142)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-157)
un 4.5 (118)
ov 4.5 (-150)
un 4.5 (115)
ov 4.5 (-152)
un 4.5 (120)
ov 4.5 (-165)
un 4.5 (125)
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (116)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-110)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-110)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-109)

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