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Sonny Gray

St. Louis Cardinals

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Texas Rangers

04:05 PM

May 31, 2025

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St. Louis Cardinals

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 125

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Sonny Gray in the 94th percentile among all starters in the majors.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a good pitch framer.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the schedule today at 37%.

Given that groundball pitchers have a significant advantage over groundball batters, Sonny Gray and his 31.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in this matchup being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.

Sonny Gray's 2516-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 94th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches today.

Sonny Gray will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Sonny Gray's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (91.2 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).

Sonny Gray's cut-fastball usage has fallen by 6.4% from last season to this one (17.8% to 11.4%) .

Sonny Gray is projected to have 5.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches today.

Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Sonny Gray will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Sonny Gray's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (91.2 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Sonny Gray's overall pitching talent ranks in the 91st percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions in the league.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the schedule today at 37%.

Sonny Gray is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -190

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 140

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Sonny Gray's overall pitching talent ranks in the 91st percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions in the league.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the schedule today at 37%.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches today.

Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Sonny Gray will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Sonny Gray's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (91.2 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).

Sonny Gray is projected to have 17.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Sonny Gray Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-156)
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-145)
-
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (108)
un 2.5 (-149)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
-
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
ov 2.5 (112)
un 2.5 (-154)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-182)
un 17.5 (132)
ov 17.5 (-205)
un 17.5 (150)
ov 17.5 (-160)
un 17.5 (122)
ov 17.5 (-210)
un 17.5 (145)
ov 17.5 (-184)
un 17.5 (133)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (123)
un 6.5 (-164)
ov 6.5 (110)
un 6.5 (-145)
ov 6.5 (124)
un 6.5 (-160)
ov 6.5 (110)
un 6.5 (-150)
ov 6.5 (126)
un 6.5 (-174)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (104)
un 1.5 (-144)
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-170)
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-
ov 1.5 (108)
un 1.5 (-148)

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MLB Player Props Sonny Gray Projections, Prop Bets & Odds