Spencer Schwellenbach Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 105

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Spencer Schwellenbach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Schwellenbach's 96-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 89th percentile among all starters.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Schwellenbach must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 59.5% of the time, placing in the 79th percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.19 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.46 — a 1.27 K/9 difference.

Spencer Schwellenbach has posted a 12.6% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.8% underlying K%.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

In of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -148

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 108

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for BABIP.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

In of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Spencer Schwellenbach has put up a .247 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Spencer Schwellenbach's overall pitching skill ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball right now.

Among all major league stadiums, Truist Park's left field fences are the 2nd-deepest.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Spencer Schwellenbach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In his last GS, Spencer Schwellenbach turned in a great performance and allowed 0 ER.

Spencer Schwellenbach's 96-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 89th percentile among all starters.

Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.