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Tomoyuki Sugano

Baltimore Orioles

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Milwaukee Brewers

01:10 PM

May 21, 2025

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Baltimore Orioles

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Tomoyuki Sugano's overall pitching skill grades out in the 18th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

In MLB, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tomoyuki Sugano today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.

The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Because flyball pitchers hold a notable edge over flyball hitters, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 43% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's outing going up against 3 opposing FB hitters.

Tomoyuki Sugano turned in a great performance in his previous GS and gave up 2 ER.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has utilized his non-fastballs a lot this year: 70.7% of the time, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -161

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Recording 17.6 outs per GS this year on average, Tomoyuki Sugano falls in the 88th percentile.

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.

The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Because flyball pitchers hold a notable edge over flyball hitters, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 43% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's outing going up against 3 opposing FB hitters.

Tomoyuki Sugano turned in a great performance in his previous GS and gave up 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Tomoyuki Sugano's overall pitching skill grades out in the 18th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

In MLB, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tomoyuki Sugano today.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 16.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -125

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -102

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the best ballpark in MLB for strikeouts.

Because flyball pitchers hold a notable edge over flyball hitters, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 43% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's outing going up against 3 opposing FB hitters.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has utilized his non-fastballs a lot this year: 70.7% of the time, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Given the 1.28 difference between Tomoyuki Sugano's 4.96 K/9 and his 6.23 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to perform better going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyuki Sugano in the 6th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tomoyuki Sugano today.

In his previous start, Tomoyuki Sugano struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 1 Ks.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Tomoyuki Sugano Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-121)
ov 5.5 (-125)
un 5.5 (-115)
-
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-115)
ov 5.5 (-113)
un 5.5 (-121)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-102)
un 2.5 (-134)
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-135)
-
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-135)
ov 2.5 (-103)
un 2.5 (-133)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-157)
un 17.5 (114)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-146)
un 17.5 (108)
ov 17.5 (-160)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-160)
un 17.5 (116)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-133)
un 3.5 (100)
ov 3.5 (-140)
un 3.5 (105)
ov 3.5 (-125)
un 3.5 (-102)
ov 3.5 (-125)
un 3.5 (-105)
ov 3.5 (-133)
un 3.5 (-103)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (161)
un 1.5 (-229)
ov 1.5 (150)
un 1.5 (-215)
-
-
ov 1.5 (152)
un 1.5 (-214)

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MLB Player Props Tomoyuki Sugano Projections, Prop Bets & Odds