On Saturday, May 17, 2025, UFC Fight Night 256 will feature a light heavyweight bout between Scotland’s Paul Craig and Brazil’s Rodolfo Bellato at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. This Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig fight is pivotal for both athletes, with one looking to stay unbeaten in the promotion and the other looking to end a prolonged losing streak.
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Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig Preview
Paul Craig, known for his grappling prowess, returns to the light heavyweight division after a stint at middleweight. His record stands at 17-9-1, with notable victories over fighters like Magomed Ankalaev and Jamahal Hill. Despite a challenging run at middleweight, including losses to Brendan Allen, Caio Borralho, and Bo Nickal, Craig aims to leverage his experience and submission skills in his return to 205 pounds.
Rodolfo Bellato, a rising talent with a 12-2 record, has demonstrated finishing ability with 11 of his wins coming by knockout or submission. After a TKO victory over Ihor Potieria and a majority draw against Jimmy Crute, Bellato seeks to establish himself further in the UFC’s light heavyweight division. His striking accuracy and volume will present a significant challenge for Craig in this fight.
Betting Insights
As of now, the betting odds for this matchup from Sportzino are:
- Rodolfo Bellato: -550
- Paul Craig: +400
These odds suggest a fight that Bellato should control, with Bellato heavily favored due to his recent performances and striking capabilities. Bettors should consider the following factors:
- Craig’s Submission Threat: With a high submission average, Craig poses a constant danger on the ground.
- Bellato’s Striking Volume: Averaging 6.47 significant strikes per minute, Bellato’s output could overwhelm opponents.
- Experience Level: Craig’s extensive UFC experience may provide an edge in high-pressure situations.
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Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig Prediction
Bellato’s striking volume and accuracy could pose problems for Craig, especially if he maintains distance and avoids takedowns. However, Craig’s ability to secure submissions, even from disadvantaged positions, cannot be underestimated.
If Bellato can keep the fight standing and utilize his striking effectively, he stands a good chance of securing a decision victory. Conversely, if Craig manages to bring the fight to the ground, his submission skills could lead to a finish.
Prediction: Paul Craig wins via submission in the second round.
