Denver Nuggets VS Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Preview – 3/19/2024

Jay Sanin on March 19, 2024

Nuggets -278

Timberwolves +225

Timberwolves +7.5 (-110) over Nuggets

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Nuggets -278

Timberwolves +225

The Timberwolves have the best defensive rating in the NBA this season and they will make the Nuggets work for everything they get in this matchup.
The Wolves have won three games in a row and are 23-8 at home for the season.

The Denver Nuggets will face off with the Minnesota Timberwolves on March 19, 2024 at 9:00 pm ET. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Denver Nuggets as 7.5 point favorites in this battle of elite Western Conference teams.

The early action has the Denver Nuggets taking 79% of the spread bets, while the Minnesota Timberwolves are getting 21% of the bets.

The opening total of 212.5 has prompted 55% of bets to the under and 45% of bets to the over.

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Minnesota is a little short-handed going into Tuesday’s Nuggets vs Timberwolves matchup, with Karl-Anthony Towns out and Rudy Gobert and Naz Reid both questionable. But we like the Timberwolves to cover the spread as a 7.5-point underdog at home. The Wolves are the best defensive team in the NBA this season and that defense will help them to hang around in this game even if they are missing some big men while trying to deal with Nikola Jokic.

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NBA

Mar 19, 2024 09:00 PM

Denver Nuggets

Minnesota Timberwolves

Spread Pick Consensus

-7.5/-112

+7.5/-108

76% DEN

MIN 24%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-320

+251

89% DEN

MIN 11%

Total Pick Consensus

215.5/-110

49% UN

OV 51%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

DEN	Team Stats Per Game	MIN
82	Games	82
45.4	FG	40.5
89.8	FGA	88.0
.506	FG%	.460
12.0	3Pt-FG	12.7
31.9	3Pt-FGA	36.0
.376	3Pt%	.353
33.4	2Pt-FG	27.8
57.8	2Pt-FGA	52.0
.578	2Pt%	.534
17.9	FT	15.7
23.3	FTA	20.4
.770	FT%	.767
11.2	ORB	11.0
34.5	DRB	31.8
45.7	TRB	42.9
31.0	AST	24.8
8.0	STL	8.4
4.9	BLK	4.5
14.3	TOV	14.7
17.6	PF	19.2
120.8	PTS	109.3

Defense/Offense

DEN	Team Stats Per Game	MIN
82	Games	82
43.3	FG	41.0
93.0	FGA	87.6
.466	FG%	.468
14.1	3Pt-FG	15.0
38.7	3Pt-FGA	39.9
.365	3Pt%	.377
29.2	2Pt-FG	26.0
54.4	2Pt-FGA	47.7
.538	2Pt%	.545
16.1	FT	17.2
20.7	FTA	21.8
.777	FT%	.789
11.7	ORB	11.1
30.7	DRB	33.2
42.5	TRB	44.3
29.0	AST	26.1
8.7	STL	8.0
5.1	BLK	5.0
13.0	TOV	14.5
19.0	PF	18.3
116.9	PTS	114.3

Team Stats Per 100 Poss

Offense/Defense

DEN	Team Stats Per 100 Poss	MIN
82	Games	82
45.1	FG	41.3
89.1	FGA	89.7
.506	FG%	.460
11.9	3Pt-FG	12.9
31.7	3Pt-FGA	36.7
.376	3Pt%	.353
33.2	2Pt-FG	28.3
57.4	2Pt-FGA	53.0
.578	2Pt%	.534
17.8	FT	16.0
23.1	FTA	20.8
.770	FT%	.767
11.1	ORB	11.3
34.3	DRB	32.5
45.4	TRB	43.7
30.8	AST	25.3
7.9	STL	8.5
4.9	BLK	4.6
14.2	TOV	15.0
17.5	PF	19.5
119.9	PTS	111.5

Defense/Offense

DEN	Team Stats Per 100 Poss	MIN
82	Games	82
43.0	FG	41.8
92.4	FGA	89.3
.466	FG%	.468
14.0	3Pt-FG	15.3
38.4	3Pt-FGA	40.7
.365	3Pt%	.377
29.0	2Pt-FG	26.5
54.0	2Pt-FGA	48.7
.538	2Pt%	.545
16.0	FT	17.6
20.6	FTA	22.3
.777	FT%	.789
11.7	ORB	11.3
30.5	DRB	33.9
42.2	TRB	45.2
28.8	AST	26.6
8.7	STL	8.1
5.1	BLK	5.1
12.9	TOV	14.8
18.9	PF	18.6
116.0	PTS	116.6

Four Factors

Offense/Defense

DEN	Four Factors	MIN
.573	eFG%	.532
12.5	TOV%	13.2
26.7	RB%	75.1
.200	FT/FGA	.178

Defense/Offense

DEN	Four Factors	MIN
.542	eFG%	.554
11.3	TOV%	13.0
74.6	RB%	25.8
.173	FT/FGA	.196

Analytics

DEN	Analytics	MIN
50	Pythag Wins	53
32	Pythag Losses	29
3.89	Margin Of Victory	5.00
119.9	O Rtg	116.6
116.0	D Rtg	111.5
99.8	Pace	97.3
.259	FTr	.249
.356	3PAr	.455
.604	TS%	.588

Open

Current

Book

DEN

MIN

DEN

MIN

Consensus

-2.5 -113

+2.5 -110

-7.5 -113

+7.5 -108

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-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

-7.5 -110

+7.5 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

DEN

MIN

DEN

MIN

Consensus

-146

+124

-320

+251

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Second chance bet up to $500

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-145

+120

-290

+230

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

213.5 -110

213.5 -114

215.5 -113

215.5 -108

Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins

213.5 -110

216.0 -110

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

214.0 -110

216.0 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

212.0 -110

215.5 -113

215.5 -108

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets

213.5 -110

216.0 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

213.5 -110

215.5 -115

215.5 -105

Betting Trends

DEN	Betting Trends	MIN
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	3-0-0
107.33	Avg Score	117
100.33	Avg Opp Score	101.33
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
107.33	Avg Score	109
100.33	Avg Opp Score	109

DEN	Betting Trends	MIN
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
117.8	Avg Score	112.8
108.2	Avg Opp Score	107.4
AWAY		HOME
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-5-0
113	Avg Score	110.2
103.6	Avg Opp Score	106.6

DEN	Betting Trends	MIN
OVERALL		OVERALL
8-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
115.5	Avg Score	111.4
107.4	Avg Opp Score	107.6
AWAY		HOME
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
110.7	Avg Score	109.7
108.8	Avg Opp Score	101.6

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
11/01/23	DEN MIN	220.0 2.0	-134 +111	21 28	23 35	28 26	17 21		89 110
04/25/23	MIN DEN	220.0 -9.5	+365 -479	29 22	18 26	30 29	32 35		109 112
04/23/23	DEN MIN	222.5 4.5	-192 +157	22 23	30 25	22 32	22 16	12 18	108 114
04/21/23	DEN MIN	223.0 1.5	-123 +103	28 28	33 27	33 33	26 23		120 111
04/19/23	MIN DEN	222.0 -8.0	+276 -350	22 31	27 33	40 23	24 35		113 122
04/16/23	MIN DEN	225.0 -8.0	+279 -355	23 26	21 29	14 32	22 22		80 109
02/07/23	MIN DEN	232.5 -8.0	+266 -340	19 49	29 30	27 31	37 36		112 146
02/05/23	DEN MIN	225.5 -8.5	+295 -376	21 32	22 31	28 31	27 34		98 128
01/18/23	MIN DEN	241.5 -9.0	+322 -416	27 30	33 25	35 33	23 34		118 122
01/02/23	DEN MIN	231.0 4.0	-180 +149	23 23	30 36	32 31	26 34		111 124

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
04/13/25	DEN HOU	408.5 11.3	-423 +354	63 40	51 51	64 33	42 70	219 193
04/11/25	MEM DEN	409.3 -12.6	+398 -484	59 47	40 42	60 65	23 42	182 196
04/09/25	DEN SAC	214.8 3.8	-174 +146	30 23	30 30	25 23	28 30	114 106
04/06/25	IND DEN	127.8 -3.5	+106 -128	13 18	20 18	20 17	14 12	67 64
04/04/25	DEN GS	143.1 -1.8	+74 -87	27 21	6 19	14 18	12 13	63 71
04/02/25	SA DEN	91.7 -1.0	+47 -55	13 3	13 13	4 12	10 3	45 43
03/28/25	UTA DEN	364.0 -28.9	+1816 -3881	23 40	49 47	27 44	43 65	141 196
03/26/25	MIL DEN	268.8 -13.6	+525 -712	32 45	44 34	33 39	30 32	139 150
03/24/25	CHI DEN	266.2 -2.8	+131 -154	30 39	42 33	33 33	38 27	144 133
03/23/25	DEN HOU	135.1 -4.5	+143 -174	16 16	18 18	23 13	12 19	70 67

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
04/13/25	UTA MIN	406.8 -40.1	+2982 -9828	42 52	44 35	49 70	49 45	183 202
04/11/25	BKN MIN	366.6 -36.0	+2262 -5891	27 47	60 60	35 57	30 32	152 196
04/10/25	MIN MEM	205.4 1.6	-120 +102	33 28	27 37	46 22	20 25	126 111
04/08/25	MIN MIL	378.2 10.2	-382 +321	48 39	48 37	58 42	22 68	175 187
04/05/25	MIN PHI	296.3 21.1	-1818 +1078	36 30	37 37	37 41	41 36	150 144
04/03/25	MIN BKN	241.5 15.7	-1055 +703	22 21	32 20	31 34	31 26	117 101
03/30/25	DET MIN	361.2 -12.1	+370 -452	55 32	42 55	37 61	34 50	167 198
03/28/25	PHO MIN	339.7 -11.4	+369 -453	32 41	36 46	46 53	52 49	166 188
03/24/25	MIN IND	257.2 1.9	-136 +115	26 28	28 32	28 46	33 27	115 133
03/21/25	NO MIN	119.0 -8.0	+421 -699	12 15	14 18	13 19	11 20	50 72

Tags: Minnesota Timberwolves

May 23, 2025

Denver Nuggets VS Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Preview – 3/19/2024