Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Overview
- Date: April 21, 2024
- Venue: TD Garden
- Spread: Miami Heat 14 (-110), Boston Celtics -14 (-110)
- Total (Over/Under): 209.5
- Moneyline: Miami Heat 700, Boston Celtics -1000
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities
Implied Win %:
- Miami Heat - 12%
- Boston Celtics - 88%
Projected Win %:
- Miami Heat - 8%
- Boston Celtics - 92%
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Miami Heat (47-37) are set to face off against the Boston Celtics (64-18) in an NBA matchup on Sunday to start their first round playoff series in the Eastern Conference. The game will take place at the TD Garden, the Celtics' home arena, with tip-off scheduled for 1:00 PM ET.
The Celtics, who last played seven days ago, have had the advantage of extra rest leading up to this game. This could provide their players with valuable time to recover and potentially enhance their chances of securing a victory. Moreover, the Celtics have been dominant at home, winning 36 of their last 40 games played at TD Garden.
As the home team, the Celtics are heavily favored in this matchup. The current spread stands at Celtics -14.0, indicating the bookmakers' belief in their superiority. The Moneyline for the Celtics is listed at -1000, while the Heat's Moneyline is set at +700. Based on these odds, the Heat have an implied win probability of 12%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 88%.
Despite being the underdogs, the Heat have shown strong performances on the road recently, winning 24 of their last 40 away games. In their previous game, the Heat secured a convincing 112-91 victory over the Chicago Bulls. On the other hand, the Celtics triumphed over the Washington Wizards in their last outing, with a final score of 132-122.
One player to keep an eye on in this game is Tyler Herro of the Heat. His Points and Assists prop market has garnered significant attention from bettors, making it the most popular betting market for this game. The Over option for Herro's Points and Assists, currently set at 29.5 (-110), has been attracting sharp bettors who believe it offers value and may be mispriced.
With the Celtics' strong home record and the Heat's recent success on the road, this game promises to be an intriguing matchup. Basketball fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching as these two teams battle it out on the court.
Pick and Prediction: Miami Heat 101.88 - Boston Celtics 119.4
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NBA
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 41.5 | FG | 41.8 |
| 89.3 | FGA | 92.7 |
| .465 | FG% | .450 |
| 14.1 | 3Pt-FG | 13.3 |
| 38.3 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.5 |
| .367 | 3Pt% | .347 |
| 27.5 | 2Pt-FG | 28.4 |
| 51.0 | 2Pt-FGA | 54.2 |
| .538 | 2Pt% | .524 |
| 16.4 | FT | 14.3 |
| 20.7 | FTA | 18.3 |
| .791 | FT% | .777 |
| 10.0 | ORB | 11.1 |
| 34.5 | DRB | 34.2 |
| 44.5 | TRB | 45.3 |
| 27.1 | AST | 24.9 |
| 8.4 | STL | 7.2 |
| 3.9 | BLK | 3.7 |
| 13.9 | TOV | 13.3 |
| 16.0 | PF | 18.2 |
| 113.5 | PTS | 111.1 |
Defense/Offense
| MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 42.3 | FG | 43.2 |
| 90.9 | FGA | 93.3 |
| .466 | FG% | .462 |
| 14.0 | 3Pt-FG | 18.4 |
| 38.9 | 3Pt-FGA | 50.0 |
| .360 | 3Pt% | .368 |
| 28.3 | 2Pt-FG | 24.7 |
| 52.0 | 2Pt-FGA | 43.3 |
| .545 | 2Pt% | .571 |
| 14.3 | FT | 15.8 |
| 18.4 | FTA | 19.8 |
| .776 | FT% | .799 |
| 11.0 | ORB | 11.8 |
| 34.8 | DRB | 35.2 |
| 45.8 | TRB | 47.0 |
| 27.2 | AST | 27.1 |
| 7.7 | STL | 7.4 |
| 4.8 | BLK | 5.7 |
| 14.2 | TOV | 12.3 |
| 17.4 | PF | 16.5 |
| 112.9 | PTS | 120.6 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| MIA | Four Factors | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| .544 | eFG% | .522 |
| 12.4 | TOV% | 11.6 |
| 22.3 | RB% | 76.0 |
| .183 | FT/FGA | .154 |
Defense/Offense
| MIA | Four Factors | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| .543 | eFG% | .561 |
| 12.5 | TOV% | 10.8 |
| 75.8 | RB% | 25.7 |
| .157 | FT/FGA | .169 |
Analytics
| MIA | Analytics | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Pythag Wins | 62 |
| 40 | Pythag Losses | 20 |
| 0.56 | Margin Of Victory | 9.11 |
| 113.5 | O Rtg | 120.6 |
| 112.9 | D Rtg | 111.1 |
| 96.2 | Pace | 95.7 |
| .232 | FTr | .212 |
| .429 | 3PAr | .536 |
| .576 | TS% | .591 |
Betting Trends
| MIA | Betting Trends | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
| 111.33 | Avg Score | 124 |
| 99.67 | Avg Opp Score | 112.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
| 112 | Avg Score | 124 |
| 111 | Avg Opp Score | 112.67 |
| MIA | Betting Trends | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 110.2 | Avg Score | 117.4 |
| 102.6 | Avg Opp Score | 109.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 5-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 114.8 | Avg Score | 119.4 |
| 108.8 | Avg Opp Score | 109 |
| MIA | Betting Trends | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
| 111.6 | Avg Score | 116.7 |
| 105.3 | Avg Opp Score | 106.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-1 |
| 108.4 | Avg Score | 124 |
| 104.9 | Avg Opp Score | 105.8 |
