Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Overview
- Date: April 24, 2024
- Venue: TD Garden
- Spread: Miami Heat 14.5 (-110), Boston Celtics -14.5 (-110)
- Total (Over/Under): 203
- Moneyline: Miami Heat 750, Boston Celtics -1100
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities
Implied Win %:
- Miami Heat - 11%
- Boston Celtics - 89%
Projected Win %:
- Miami Heat - 10%
- Boston Celtics - 90%
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview
In Game 2 of their first round playoff series in the Eastern Conference, the Boston Celtics will host the Miami Heat. Both teams are coming off a three-day break, which could provide an advantage in of rest and preparation. The Celtics, as the home team, are considered massive favorites in this matchup. The current spread stands at Celtics -14.5, indicating a significant point differential in favor of the Celtics.
The Celtics have been in excellent form recently, winning 39 of their last 50 games. They have established themselves as one of the top teams in the league and will look to continue their strong performance at home.
On the other hand, the Heat have been solid on the road, winning 24 of their last 40 away games. Despite being the underdogs, they will aim to put up a strong fight against the Celtics and potentially pull off an upset.
In their previous encounter, the Celtics emerged victorious with a convincing 114-94 win over the Heat. This result could provide added motivation for the Heat to seek redemption in this rematch.
For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro's Points and Rebounds have been a popular betting market for this game. Sharp bettors have shown confidence in the Over 25.5 Points and Rebounds for Herro, believing it offers value and is potentially mispriced.
In of the betting odds, the Celtics hold a significant advantage with a moneyline of -1100, while the Heat have a moneyline of +750. Based on the odds, the Heat are given an implied win probability of 11%, while the Celtics are favored with an implied win probability of 89%.
As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating this clash between two competitive teams. Will the Celtics continue their dominant form, or will the Heat stage an upset? Only time will tell as the action unfolds at the TD Garden.
Pick and Prediction: Miami Heat 99.33 - Boston Celtics 114.33
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NBA
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 41.5 | FG | 41.8 |
| 89.3 | FGA | 92.7 |
| .465 | FG% | .450 |
| 14.1 | 3Pt-FG | 13.3 |
| 38.3 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.5 |
| .367 | 3Pt% | .347 |
| 27.5 | 2Pt-FG | 28.4 |
| 51.0 | 2Pt-FGA | 54.2 |
| .538 | 2Pt% | .524 |
| 16.4 | FT | 14.3 |
| 20.7 | FTA | 18.3 |
| .791 | FT% | .777 |
| 10.0 | ORB | 11.1 |
| 34.5 | DRB | 34.2 |
| 44.5 | TRB | 45.3 |
| 27.1 | AST | 24.9 |
| 8.4 | STL | 7.2 |
| 3.9 | BLK | 3.7 |
| 13.9 | TOV | 13.3 |
| 16.0 | PF | 18.2 |
| 113.5 | PTS | 111.1 |
Defense/Offense
| MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 42.3 | FG | 43.2 |
| 90.9 | FGA | 93.3 |
| .466 | FG% | .462 |
| 14.0 | 3Pt-FG | 18.4 |
| 38.9 | 3Pt-FGA | 50.0 |
| .360 | 3Pt% | .368 |
| 28.3 | 2Pt-FG | 24.7 |
| 52.0 | 2Pt-FGA | 43.3 |
| .545 | 2Pt% | .571 |
| 14.3 | FT | 15.8 |
| 18.4 | FTA | 19.8 |
| .776 | FT% | .799 |
| 11.0 | ORB | 11.8 |
| 34.8 | DRB | 35.2 |
| 45.8 | TRB | 47.0 |
| 27.2 | AST | 27.1 |
| 7.7 | STL | 7.4 |
| 4.8 | BLK | 5.7 |
| 14.2 | TOV | 12.3 |
| 17.4 | PF | 16.5 |
| 112.9 | PTS | 120.6 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| MIA | Four Factors | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| .544 | eFG% | .522 |
| 12.4 | TOV% | 11.6 |
| 22.3 | RB% | 76.0 |
| .183 | FT/FGA | .154 |
Defense/Offense
| MIA | Four Factors | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| .543 | eFG% | .561 |
| 12.5 | TOV% | 10.8 |
| 75.8 | RB% | 25.7 |
| .157 | FT/FGA | .169 |
Analytics
| MIA | Analytics | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Pythag Wins | 62 |
| 40 | Pythag Losses | 20 |
| 0.56 | Margin Of Victory | 9.11 |
| 113.5 | O Rtg | 120.6 |
| 112.9 | D Rtg | 111.1 |
| 96.2 | Pace | 95.7 |
| .232 | FTr | .212 |
| .429 | 3PAr | .536 |
| .576 | TS% | .591 |
Betting Trends
| MIA | Betting Trends | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-0-1 |
| 103.33 | Avg Score | 125.67 |
| 103.33 | Avg Opp Score | 104.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-0-1 |
| 105 | Avg Score | 125.67 |
| 110 | Avg Opp Score | 104.67 |
| MIA | Betting Trends | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 110.6 | Avg Score | 115.4 |
| 103.2 | Avg Opp Score | 107.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-1-1 |
| 109.8 | Avg Score | 122 |
| 110.2 | Avg Opp Score | 107.8 |
| MIA | Betting Trends | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-1 |
| 110.1 | Avg Score | 115.9 |
| 106.8 | Avg Opp Score | 103.9 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-1 |
| 107.8 | Avg Score | 121.4 |
| 105.6 | Avg Opp Score | 106.4 |
