Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Overview
- Date: March 29, 2024
- Venue: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Portland Trail Blazers -3 (14), Miami Heat 3(-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 209.5
- Moneyline: Portland Trail Blazers 750, Miami Heat -1100
Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities
Implied Win %:
- Portland Trail Blazers - 11%
- Miami Heat - 89%
Projected Win %:
- Portland Trail Blazers - 7%
- Miami Heat - 93%
Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Game Preview
In a Friday night battle, the Portland Trail Blazers (19-54) will face off against the Miami Heat (39-33) at the Kaseya Center, the home arena of the Heat. The game is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
The Heat, with a record of 39-33, have been playing relatively good basketball lately, winning 15 of their last 25 games. Their last game was three days ago, giving them some extra rest time between games, which could work in their favor. The Trail Blazers, on the other hand, enter the game on a cold streak, having lost their last eight consecutive games. In their most recent game, they suffered a 120-106 loss to the Atlanta Hawks.
The Trail Blazers will have a disadvantage in this game as they are far from home and have traveled cross-country, crossing two time zones to play this road game. This longer-than-normal road trip may impact their performance and decrease their chances of winning.
The Heat, being the home team, are considered massive favorites. The current spread is Heat -14.0, indicating that the Heat are expected to win by a significant margin. The moneyline for the Heat is -1100, suggesting a high probability of them winning the game. In contrast, the Trail Blazers have a moneyline of +750, indicating a much lower chance of winning.
One popular betting market for this game is Deandre Ayton's Points and Rebounds. Sharp bettors seem to be favoring the Under, as they believe it is mispriced and offers value. The current price for the Under is 30.5 Points and Rebounds (-110).
With the Heat's advantages of home court, extra rest, and their recent strong performance, they are heavily favored to win this game. The Trail Blazers will need to overcome the challenges of their road trip and their recent losing streak to have a chance at victory.
Final Score Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers 94.6 vs Miami Heat 113.71
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
Miami Heat
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| POR | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 40.8 | FG | 42.3 |
| 90.9 | FGA | 90.9 |
| .450 | FG% | .466 |
| 13.0 | 3Pt-FG | 14.0 |
| 38.0 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.9 |
| .342 | 3Pt% | .360 |
| 27.9 | 2Pt-FG | 28.3 |
| 52.8 | 2Pt-FGA | 52.0 |
| .527 | 2Pt% | .545 |
| 17.0 | FT | 14.3 |
| 22.4 | FTA | 18.4 |
| .762 | FT% | .776 |
| 13.5 | ORB | 11.0 |
| 31.6 | DRB | 34.8 |
| 45.1 | TRB | 45.8 |
| 24.0 | AST | 27.2 |
| 8.3 | STL | 7.7 |
| 5.3 | BLK | 4.8 |
| 16.1 | TOV | 14.2 |
| 19.1 | PF | 17.4 |
| 111.7 | PTS | 112.9 |
Defense/Offense
| POR | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Games | 82 |
| 41.9 | FG | 41.5 |
| 88.9 | FGA | 89.3 |
| .471 | FG% | .465 |
| 12.8 | 3Pt-FG | 14.1 |
| 35.4 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.3 |
| .361 | 3Pt% | .367 |
| 29.1 | 2Pt-FG | 27.5 |
| 53.5 | 2Pt-FGA | 51.0 |
| .544 | 2Pt% | .538 |
| 18.1 | FT | 16.4 |
| 22.7 | FTA | 20.7 |
| .799 | FT% | .791 |
| 12.0 | ORB | 10.0 |
| 32.6 | DRB | 34.5 |
| 44.6 | TRB | 44.5 |
| 26.4 | AST | 27.1 |
| 9.6 | STL | 8.4 |
| 5.6 | BLK | 3.9 |
| 15.6 | TOV | 13.9 |
| 19.4 | PF | 16.0 |
| 114.7 | PTS | 113.5 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| POR | Four Factors | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| .521 | eFG% | .543 |
| 13.8 | TOV% | 12.5 |
| 29.2 | RB% | 75.8 |
| .187 | FT/FGA | .157 |
Defense/Offense
| POR | Four Factors | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| .543 | eFG% | .544 |
| 13.6 | TOV% | 12.4 |
| 72.5 | RB% | 22.3 |
| .204 | FT/FGA | .183 |
Analytics
| POR | Analytics | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Pythag Wins | 42 |
| 49 | Pythag Losses | 40 |
| -2.98 | Margin Of Victory | 0.56 |
| 111.7 | O Rtg | 113.5 |
| 114.7 | D Rtg | 112.9 |
| 98.8 | Pace | 96.2 |
| .246 | FTr | .232 |
| .418 | 3PAr | .429 |
| .555 | TS% | .576 |
Betting Trends
| POR | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 103 | Avg Score | 100.33 |
| 114.67 | Avg Opp Score | 102.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 101.67 | Avg Score | 100.33 |
| 113.33 | Avg Opp Score | 102.67 |
| POR | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 105.8 | Avg Score | 99.8 |
| 117 | Avg Opp Score | 102 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 105.2 | Avg Score | 99.4 |
| 117 | Avg Opp Score | 103.6 |
| POR | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-9-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 104.1 | Avg Score | 100.7 |
| 114.9 | Avg Opp Score | 102.3 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 106.6 | Avg Score | 108.4 |
| 112.5 | Avg Opp Score | 105.7 |
