Maple Leafs -1.5 (+130) over Sabres
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- The Maple Leafs have won eight of their last 10 games, with their lone losses during that stretch coming against Stanley Cup contenders Vegas and Boston.
- Toronto should come out sharp in this game given that they lost their previous two games to Buffalo this season and they know they can’t afford to overlook the Sabres.
The Buffalo Sabres face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs on March 6, 2024, at 7:00 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Sabres as +160 underdogs and the Maple Leafs as -192 favorites. Currently, 65% of money line bets are in favor of the Maple Leafs, with the Sabres garnering 35%. The total opening at (6.5 -112) has 60% of bets on the under and 40% on the over.
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The Sabres vs Maple Leafs matchup on Wednesday night is an interesting one, as the Leafs are favored despite being 0-2 against the Sabres this season. Despite their struggles with Buffalo earlier in the year, we do like the Maple Leafs to win and cover the puckline at home. They certainly won’t overlook the Sabres given their history against them this season. And with the way the Leafs have been playing of late, Toronto is the right play here to win with some margin, even if they have struggled to do so against Buffalo earlier in the year.
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NHL
Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs
Team Records
| BUF | Team Records | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 36-39-7 | Overall | 52-26-4 |
| 4-2 | Shootout | 1-2 |
| 3-5 | Overtime | 10-2 |
| 23-15-3 | Home | 27-13-1 |
| 13-24-4 | Road | 25-13-3 |
| 21-25-4 | EAS | 33-16-1 |
| 15-14-3 | WES | 19-10-3 |
| 10-13-3 | ATL | 17-8-1 |
| 11-12-1 | MET | 16-8-0 |
| 7-7-2 | CEN | 8-7-1 |
| 8-7-1 | PAC | 11-3-2 |
| 16-8-7 | ≤1 | 22-4-4 |
| 13-19-0 | ≥3 | 18-16-0 |
| 4-5-1 | Oct | 6-4-1 |
| 7-6-1 | Nov | 8-3-1 |
| 3-9-2 | Dec | 9-6-0 |
| 6-6-1 | Jan | 7-6-0 |
| 4-2-0 | Feb | 7-1-0 |
| 7-8-1 | Mar | 8-5-2 |
| 5-3-1 | Apr | 7-1-0 |
Team Stats
| BUF | Team Stats | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 265 | Goals For | 267 |
| 287 | Goals Agst | 229 |
| 2.79 | PP For GM | 2.66 |
| .52 | PP Goals GM | .66 |
| 18.78 | PP% | 24.77 |
| 2.94 | PP Agst GM | 2.87 |
| .70 | PP Agst Goals GM | .63 |
| 76.35 | PK% | 77.87 |
| 10.2 | PIM GM | 8.0 |
| 9.6 | oPIM GM | 7.5 |
Goalies
| U. Luukkonen | I. Samsonov | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | GP | 40 |
| 8 | GS | 40 |
| 3-4-1 | W-L-T/O | 23-7-8 |
| 25 | Goals Allowed | 120 |
| 3.16 | GAA | 3.13 |
| 233 | Shots Against | 1087 |
| .893 | SV% | .890 |
| 0 | SO | 3 |
| 4 | Quality Starts | 19 |
| .500 | QS% | .475 |
| 1 | Bad Starts | 9 |
| 105 | Goals All.% | 114 |
| -1.26 | Goals Sv Above Avg | -14.93 |
Recent Starts
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11/22 TB |
Vasilevskiy ML N/A |
L1-6 TOTAL N/A |
2 |
9 |
7 |
.778 |
| 1/6/22 SJ |
Hill ML N/A |
L2-3 TOTAL N/A |
3 |
21 |
18 |
.857 |
| 1/1/22 BOS |
Ullmark ML N/A |
L3-4 TOTAL N/A |
4 |
41 |
37 |
.902 |
| 12/29/21 NJ |
Blackwood ML N/A |
L3-4 TOTAL N/A |
4 |
42 |
38 |
.905 |
| 12/16/21 MIN |
Talbot ML N/A |
W3-2 TOTAL N/A |
2 |
32 |
30 |
.938 |
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/29/22 NYR |
Georgiev ML N/A |
L2-3 TOTAL N/A |
3 |
33 |
30 |
.909 |
| 4/26/22 NYI |
Sorokin ML N/A |
L1-4 TOTAL N/A |
4 |
26 |
22 |
.846 |
| 4/20/22 VEG |
Thompson ML N/A |
L3-4 TOTAL N/A |
4 |
30 |
26 |
.867 |
| 4/18/22 COL |
Kuemper ML N/A |
W3-2 TOTAL N/A |
2 |
26 |
24 |
.923 |
| 4/14/22 TOR |
Campbell ML N/A |
L3-7 TOTAL N/A |
4 |
19 |
15 |
.789 |
Betting Trends
| BUF | Betting Trends | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 4 | Avg Score | 3 |
| 3 | Avg Opp Score | 3 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 2.33 | Avg Score | 3 |
| 2 | Avg Opp Score | 3 |
| BUF | Betting Trends | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 3.4 | Avg Score | 3 |
| 2.8 | Avg Opp Score | 3.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 2.6 | Avg Score | 4 |
| 2 | Avg Opp Score | 3.4 |
| BUF | Betting Trends | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 2.8 | Avg Score | 4.5 |
| 2.7 | Avg Opp Score | 3.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 3.4 | Avg Score | 3.6 |
| 2.1 | Avg Opp Score | 2.8 |
