Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Prediction – 5/27/2025

The Western Conference Final has tilted in Edmonton’s favor after a decisive 6-1 blowout on Sunday that pushed the Oilers ahead 2-1. Game 4 arrives Tuesday night at Rogers Place with Dallas seeking an immediate response and Edmonton eyeing a chance to take a 3-1 lead before the series swings back to Texas. The Oilers’ superstars erupted in Game 3, while Dallas’ depth was exposed without first-line center Roope Hintz. Whether Hintz can suit up, and whether Edmonton’s surging goaltender Stuart Skinner can keep the throttle down, will shape the betting landscape for this pivotal clash.

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Preview

Edmonton’s offense finally roared in Game 3, powered by two goals apiece from Connor McDavid and Zach Hyman. McDavid now owns 22 points in 13 postseason outings, to underscore how lethal the Oilers’ top six has become. Defenseman Evan Bouchard continues to drive play from the blue line with 17 points.

Skinner’s bounce-back has been just as critical. Since a shaky start in round two, he has logged a .983 save percentage over his last two appearances, frustrating a Dallas club still searching for finish. Across the ice, Jake Oettinger’s .906 playoff mark remains solid despite Sunday’s crooked number, yet the Stars have allowed 9 goals across the past two games and must tighten their slot coverage to avoid a repeat.

The biggest lineup storyline rests with Hintz. The center took a slash to the foot late in Game 2, missed Sunday’s warm-up after five minutes and never returned. He declared himself “feeling good” on Monday and will be a game-time decision. His return would slot Wyatt Johnston (four goals, four assists) back to the second line and lengthen the Stars’ attack. Dallas still leans on Jason Robertson and veteran Tyler Seguin to generate offense at five-on-five. Coach Pete DeBoer also hinted at possible defensive tweaks, including pairing Miro Heiskanen with the mobile Thomas Harley in an effort to break Edmonton’s relentless forecheck.

Edmonton could get a boost of its own: stay-at-home stalwart Mattias Ekholm practiced fully Monday and is “trending the right way” after logging only 1:52 since March 26. Losing depth winger Connor Brown to injury hurts the penalty-kill rotation, yet the Oilers are confident in Dylan Holloway filling that gap. Edmonton’s special teams have swung the series; their power play is converting nicely, while Dallas went 0-for-2 on Sunday.

Betting Insights

• Moneyline: Edmonton –160 | Dallas +140
• Puck line: Edmonton –1.5 (+145) | Dallas +1.5 (–170)
• Total: 6.5 goals — Over +100 | Under –120

Key trends

1. Edmonton is 5-1 in the past six playoff games at Rogers Place.
2. The Stars are 2-5 in their last seven road appearances, yielding at least four goals in five of those contests.
3. The Over is 6-3 in Dallas’ past nine playoff games; Edmonton has eclipsed the total in five of its last seven.

Current market movement shows slight pressure on the Over, nudging the juice from even money to +102 at some shops, while Oilers –1.5 has dipped as low as +140 with early action on Edmonton’s side.

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Prediction

Dallas has a proven track record of bouncing back, and a potential Hintz return would bolster their center depth. Yet the Stars’ defensive gaps were glaring Sunday, and Edmonton’s speed repeatedly forced blown coverages high in the zone. More concerning for Dallas backers is a penalty kill that has slipped to 71% in the postseason; against McDavid’s unit that is asking for trouble. Even if Oettinger provides his usual calm, the workload figures to be heavy once again.

The Oilers carry every momentum edge: McDavid and Leon Draisaitl finally found room to operate, Hyman’s physical presence is wearing down Dallas’ blue line, and Skinner has rediscovered the composed form that carried Edmonton through early May. Throw in Ekholm’s possible return and the matchup tilts further toward the home side. Dallas can make this tight with a disciplined effort and renewed push from Robertson, but expecting a complete reversal only 48 hours after a five-goal drubbing feels optimistic.

Best Bet: Oilers moneyline –160. Edmonton’s forward depth and surging power play should outpace a Stars roster that, even at full health, has struggled to control the slot. For plus-money hunters, pairing the Oilers with Over 6.5 at roughly +225 offers attractive upside given the offensive firepower on display and a Dallas push that should open wider lanes in the third period.

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