One trip around the track is separating the competitors in the Olympic women’s 400m race from glory at the Paris Olympics. There is a heavy favorite going into this race in Marileidy Paulino of the Dominican Republic. But there are also several competitors who will feel like it is their time to get their hands on Olympic gold. Here, we break down the field for the women’s 400m final and make our pick to win the gold from .
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Olympic Women’s 400m Betting Odds
| Athlete | Gold Medal Odds |
| Marileidy Paulino | -455 |
| Salwa Eid Naser | +350 |
| Rhasidat Adeleke | +1600 |
| Natalia Kaczmarek | +2500 |
| Amber Anning | +3900 |
| Alexis Holmes | +7900 |
| Sada Williams | +9900 |
| Henriette Jaeger | +14900 |
Odds from Sportzino
The favorite to win the women’s 400m final is Marileidy Paulino from Dominican Republic. She finished second in this event in the Tokyo Olympics in 2021, finishing behind Shaunae Miller-Uibo of Bahamas. With Miller-Uibo not in the final for this race this year, Paulino could finally get her taste of Olympic glory after winning the 2023 world championship and a pair of Diamond League titles in this event.
Olympic Women’s 400m Major Storylines
Whether or not this is finally Paulino’s time to claim a gold medal in the Olympics is the biggest storyline going into this race. She has been the best in this distance for a couple of years now and it would be a massive disappointment if she could not get her hands on the gold medal in this event. But she has taken her races leading up to the final pretty convincingly so far, which has to work in her favor going into Friday’s final.
The other big storyline going into this race is whether there are any serious challengers for Paulino in this event. Salwa Eid Naser of Bahrain has won a world championship in this distance before, but that was all the way back in 2019. We could see this race act as more of a coronation of Paulino than an actual competition, though a huge upset is always possible.
Olympic Women’s 400m Medal Contenders
The race for the podium will be an interesting one in the Olympic women’s 400m final, even if Paulino and Naser are expected to be on it. Rhasidat Adeleke of Ireland and Natalia Kaczmarek of Poland are among those considered most likely to the top-two on the podium. But don’t count out American Alexis Holmes, who finished in third in the 400m at the most recent World Indoor Championships.
Women’s 400m Betting Prediction: Marileidy Paulino (-455)
We have seen some surprises in the Olympic track and field program so far during the Paris Olympics. But we are not expecting to see one in the women’s 400m final. We will take Marileidy Paulino to win this race and come away with the gold medal for Dominican Republic after a dominant couple of years in this distance.
