Climate Pledge Arena will be buzzing Friday night as the Atlanta Dream travel west for a 10:00 PM ET tipoff against the Seattle Storm. Bookmakers opened Seattle as a 3-point favorite with a total of 158.5 and a moneyline of –162, while Atlanta backers can grab +132. The line has held steady through Thursday afternoon, setting the stage for a tight Dream vs Storm game that will have huge implications in the standings as both teams look to end the day ahead of one another.
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Dream vs Storm Preview
Atlanta arrives at 4-2, sitting second in the Eastern Conference and covering four of six spreads. The Dream have surged offensively, averaging 84.5 points per game to start the year. Seattle is 3-2 after falling 82-77 at Minnesota, but still owns a 4-1 mark against the number thanks to a core that has started the season with poise on both ends.
Coach Karl Smesko’s Dream thrive behind an explosive backcourt. Allisha Gray pours in 20.3 PPG with 5.3 rebounds, and 5 assists while shooting 42.5% from deep. Rhyne Howard adds 15 PPG, 5.5 rebounds, and 5 assists, giving Atlanta two creators who can punish switches or score off movement. The Dream dominated Connecticut 79-55 on May 25 after dropping 83 on Dallas the night before, flexing depth with Nia Coffey’s improved mid-range touch and Brionna Jones’ interior presence at 13.7 PPG and 10 REB.
The frontcourt is thinner than in past seasons. Veteran forward Cheyenne Parker-Tyus is unavailable for at least three months, and guard Jordin Canada remains sidelined by a knee issue. Brittney Griner is listed as day-to-day after missing some recent action. Those absences have forced heavier minutes for Coffey and could become an issue against Seattle’s length inside, depending on Griner’s status.
Seattle overhauled its roster in January when Jewell Loyd was dealt to Las Vegas, but the Storm reloaded quickly. Future Hall-of-Famer Skylar Diggins looks fully refreshed at 18.8 PPG and 7.6 assists per game, orchestrating a balanced attack that features 13-year veteran Nneka Ogwumike, who posts 18.6 PPG and 9.8 rebounds. Defensive anchor Ezi Magbegor cleans the glass with 8 rebounds and 2.6 assists, while Gabby Williams contributes 12.8 PPG and two steals per night, creating havoc in ing lanes.
Betting Insights
- Point spread: Storm –3
- Moneyline: Storm –162, Dream +132
- Total: 158.5
- Atlanta is 4-2 ATS, Seattle 4-1 ATS
- The Storm’s games have stayed under this total in three of five contests
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Dream vs Storm Prediction
The Dream bring scorching perimeter shooting and play an uptempo brand of basketball. Yet they remain vulnerable on the defensive glass and surrender a ton of free throws, an area Seattle exploits with Diggins’ downhill attacks and Ogwumike’s polished footwork. Atlanta will lean heavily on Gray to break down Seattle’s defense, but the Dream will have to worry about Griner’s health as they look for scoring on the interior.
Seattle counters with a deeper rotation. Williams’ ability to hound Howard across screens limits Atlanta’s secondary creation, forcing the Dream into late-clock jumpers. Offensively, Diggins should thrive in pick-and-roll against Brionna Jones, whose mobility is a step slower than Magbegor’s. If Seattle converts its usual share from the stripe, it should control tempo and grind out half-court possessions, where the Storm own the league’s third-best offensive efficiency.
Best bet: Storm –3. The home side owns clear advantages in depth and free-throw rate. A projected score of Seattle 84, Atlanta 78 also leans over the posted 158.5.
