The second part of the early-season Sky vs Wings home-and-home series will take place on Saturday night at College Park Center. Chicago grabbed a 97-92 victory on Thursday behind Kamilla Cardoso’s career-best 23 points, on a night where Courtney Vandersloot set the franchise scoring record. Arike Ogunbowale poured in 37 in a losing effort for Dallas.
Both clubs bring identical one-win records into the weekend. Chicago finally broke into the win column last time out, but both teams are still searching for consistency at both ends. Bettors now have a fresh data point from that first meeting. The Wings are listed as a 3-point favorite despite losing the first meeting, while the Sky can be had at +136 on the moneyline, and the total sits at 175.
Sky vs Wings Preview
The Sky have leaned on size and quick decision-making to propel what has been a struggling offense. Cardoso, the 6-7 Brazilian center, is averaging 12.8 points on 55% shooting and 6.8 rebounds, while rookie Angel Reese rules the glass with 13.0 rebounds a night. Vandersloot continues to orchestrate with 6 assists per game. Ariel Atkins offers needed shot creation, leading the team at 13.2 points and scoring 17 points against the Wings on Thursday.
Chicago’s main issue through five games has been perimeter accuracy, sitting near the bottom of the league at 31% from beyond the arc, but the club compensates with a ton of offensive boards and second-chance opportunities.
On the opposite side, the Dallas Wings remain an offensive puzzle that occasionally explodes. Ogunbowale tops the side at 17.7 points, yet still fires just 37% overall after a rough first few games. Rookie sensation Paige Bueckers supplies 14.7 points, 6.7 dimes, and 2 steals per game, combining elite vision with sudden pull-ups that punish defenses. Dallas generates 85.3 points on only 44% shooting, and their pace is one of the fastest in the league. That tempo can leave the Wings exposed inside, especially one like Chicago who has a big like Reese that can run the floor.
Expect both sides to maintain an aggressive tempo. Both teams attempted over 70 shots in Thursday’s matchup, with both teams shooting over 46% from the field. Ogunbowale made six threes on Thursday and Chicago needs to do a better job of getting out to her. But the size advantage for the Sky could tilt things in their favor again.
Betting Insights
- Spread Wings -3, Sky +3 at -110 each way.
- Moneyline Dallas -162, Chicago +136.
- Total Over/Under 175 at -110 on both sides.
Key betting angles to monitor:
- Interior dominance: Chicago grabs 37.6 rebounds a game, Dallas only 34.5, and the Sky have a clear advantage on the interior.
- Three-point variance: Dallas takes 21.8 threes a night and converts 33.6%. Chicago attempts 23.8 but is slightly worse at them, making 31.1%.
- Home/road splits: Chicago is 0-3 on the road this season, while Dallas is 0-2 at home. Something has to give.
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Sky vs Wings Prediction
The market swung from Chicago -0.5 on Thursday to Dallas -3 in the rematch, an adjustment based largely on venue. Yet the Sky’s frontcourt supremacy and enhanced perimeter sharing should translate over to College Park Center. Dallas will likely push the tempo again, and Ogunbowale remains a threat to single-handedly crack 30, but the Wings’ defensive frailties, particularly on the glass, leave them vulnerable to prolonged opponent runs.
Given that Thursday’s 189 combined points arrived without extreme shooting luck and that both clubs will get a lot of shots up, the current total of 175 appears light. Chicago’s ability to attack the offensive boards and Dallas’s preference for early-clock threes create ideal conditions for another high-scoring evening. The best angle is the Over 175, with a lean to the Sky on the moneyline for those seeking plus money.
