The Chicago Sky will face the Phoenix Mercury on Tuesday, May 27, 2025, at PHX Arena in Phoenix, Arizona. Both teams are moving in different directions early in the WNBA season, with the Sky aiming to rebound from an 0–3 start and the Mercury looking solid despite massive roster changes. This Sky vs Mercury matchup presents an opportunity for both squads to gain momentum as they progress through the season.
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Sky vs Mercury Preview
The Chicago Sky, under the leadership of head coach Tyler Marsh, are in the midst of a rebuilding phase. Rookie Angel Reese has been a standout performer, leading the league with 13.7 rebounds per game. However, the team has struggled with scoring efficiency, ranking last in points per game at 70 points per contest. They are tied for the fewest free-throw attempts per game this season, as their inability to get to the line has made things tougher on an already limited offense.
The Phoenix Mercury, on the other hand, have undergone significant roster changes, bringing in star forwards Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally. Those changes have helped the Mercury get off to a 3-1 start, including a 3-0 start on their home floor. While star guard Kahleah Copper is out of action early on due to a knee injury, Thomas and Sabally have been enough to cover for her absence. Sabally leads the team with 19.8 points per game and will look to continue her brilliant start to the season against the struggling Sky.
Betting Insights
As of the latest available data, the Phoenix Mercury are favored by seven points going into this matchup. They have a strong home-court advantage and a roster with established stars. The Chicago Sky, while showing potential through Reese’s presence on the interior, have yet to secure a win this season and face challenges in scoring.
Betting trends indicate that the Mercury have a solid record against the spread when favored, while the Sky have struggled as underdogs, going 0-3 against the spread thus far. The over/under for this game is set at 154.5 points, reflecting expectations for a relatively low-scoring game.
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Sky vs Mercury Prediction
Considering the current form and roster compositions for both teams, the Phoenix Mercury are likely to secure a victory in this matchup. Their home-court advantage, combined with the experience of their new core players, positions them favorably against the Chicago Sky. While the Sky have the potential to be competitive, their early-season struggles and scoring difficulties may hinder their ability to overcome the Mercury.
For bettors, wagering on the Mercury to cover the spread appears to be a good choice. The over/under line suggests a game without a ton of Chicago scoring, which aligns with our recommendation to lay the points with the hosts.
