Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis will stage Saturday’s 1:00 PM ET showdown as the reigning champion New York Liberty bring a perfect 2-0 record against an Indiana Fever side riding the Caitlin Clark wave at 2-1. Sportsbooks opened with New York laying 1.5 points and a total near 170.5. The Liberty arrive after splashing 19 triples in Chicago, while the Fever just ground out an 81-76 win in Atlanta that showcased their improved late-game composure. Continue reading to get our pick for Liberty vs Fever from Indiana.
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Liberty vs Fever Game Preview
New York’s attack has fired on all cylinders, posting 92 points in their ring day triumph over Las Vegas and 99 in their rout of the Sky. Natasha Cloud headlines the scoring charts at 20.0 points per outing on better than 50 percent shooting, while Breanna Stewart and fellow front-court star Jonquel Jones chip in double figures and control the glass. The Liberty are shooting 41.8% beyond the arc through two contests, buoyed by Thursday’s avalanche from long distance.
Indiana counters with a balanced offense sparked by Clark’s playmaking ability. The rookie opened the season with a triple-double in a 93-58 demolition of Chicago, poured in 27 and 11 assists in a 91-90 setback against Atlanta two nights later, then leaned on Natasha Howard’s 26-point outburst to finish the week strong in their rematch with the Dream. Through three games, the Fever are scoring 88 points per game and conceding 75, a profile helped by Aliyah Boston’s interior presence and the return of wing scorer Sophie Cunningham.
Some key metrics to consider before betting this game are as follows:
- Liberty scoring margin: +19.5 through two outings
- Fever scoring margin: +13 after three games
- Liberty three-point rate: 23-for-55 combined, 41.8%
- Caitlin Clark averages 19.3 points, 9.0 assists, 6.3 rebounds
- Stewart averages 18.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 1.5 steals
- No players listed on either injury report as of Friday morning
Betting Insights
Current numbers list New York at −122 on the moneyline with Indiana at +118. The spread stands Liberty −1.5 at standard juice of -110 on each side, and the total is 170.5.
Market momentum has nudged the line in favor of the champions as bettors reward their perimeter shooting start. The Liberty are 2-0 against the spread and have sailed over the closing total in both games. Indiana sits 2-1 ATS, cashing the over twice. Combining season averages projects 183.5 points, well above the posted figure, suggesting value on the over if pace remains brisk.
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Liberty vs Fever Prediction
Expect a fast start: Cloud will push tempo, Stewart will stretch Boston away from the rim, and New York’s length on the wings can harass Clark without heavy trapping. Indiana’s ball movement has improved, but its perimeter defense still allows rivals to shoot 38% from deep. If the Liberty approach even half of Thursday’s accuracy, they can create a late cushion despite the Fever’s home-court advantage and Clark’s flair for the dramatic.
Pick: Liberty −1.5 and Over 170.5
Projected final score: New York 92, Indiana 88
